TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Gomilko vs Yan Krol 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111012114119711
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:45 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Gomilko above · Yan Krol below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 93 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 54.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Gomilko 96–77 Yan Krol Yan Krol has won 77 of their 173 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:45What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gomilko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
96-77 in 173
Gomilko
Wrong
gap of 19 in 173, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gomilko 1599 vs Krol 1613
Krol
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gomilko 60% vs Krol 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gomilko 50% vs Krol 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gomilko -1 · Krol +3
Krol
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Gomilko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGomilko 1.73 / Krol 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Gomilko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13196873
Gomilko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 110 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 98
Krol2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 65 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back30% 28 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGomilko7wins
AwayKrol3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGomilko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGomilko100%6 of 6
AwayKrol75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gomilko6Krol4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S2Gomilko6Krol4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S3Gomilko4Krol6n = 10Krol took 6 of 10
S4Gomilko4Krol2n = 6Gomilko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGomilkoKrolG − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.934.8+2.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGomilkoKrolBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 568 vs 300 / 58856.2%51%319 / 568 vs 300 / 588Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoGomilko 1.73/Krol 2.00
Miss
What we said
54.5%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 22:35O. Gomilko48119611113Y. Krol3941111672
WSep 20 · 02:05O. Gomilko4111118113Y. Krol37981191
LSep 19 · 01:35O. Gomilko215970Y. Krol331111113
WSep 13 · 02:05O. Gomilko3711114113Y. Krol32571191
WSep 11 · 22:35O. Gomilko569141110123Y. Krol541112912102
LSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko3510114101Y. Krol4412911123
LSep 4 · 22:35O. Gomilko2561090Y. Krol341112113
WAug 29 · 21:35O. Gomilko331111113Y. Krol259970
WAug 28 · 22:35O. Gomilko331111113Y. Krol248790
WAug 22 · 21:35O. Gomilko4011711113Y. Krol26711441
O. Gomilko10
LSep 26 · 04:05V. Lobas1.83911118113O. Gomilko1.8311851182WSep 26 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.501111113D. Derevynskyi2.505690LSep 26 · 00:35O. Melashenko1.911211113O. Gomilko1.8010480WSep 25 · 22:35Y. Krol2.0041111672O. Gomilko1.73119611113WSep 25 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.101181110102O. Gomilko1.67611712123WSep 20 · 03:05V. Lobas1.7371050O. Gomilko2.001112113WSep 20 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6711118113Y. Krol2.10981191LSep 20 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.808119111M. Marchuk1.9111611133LSep 19 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.6189110K. Hrynenko2.201111133LSep 19 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.8061171152O. Melashenko1.91116116113
Y. Krol10
WSep 26 · 22:35V. Lobas1.6711781162Y. Krol2.10911115113WSep 26 · 03:05Y. Krol1.7381111113K. Hrynenko2.00114481WSep 26 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2512119113O. Melashenko3.751071191WSep 26 · 00:05Y. Krol2.1071111113V. Lobas1.67118961LSep 25 · 22:35Y. Krol2.0041111672O. Gomilko1.73119611113LSep 25 · 21:05Y. Krol2.633790D. Derevynskyi1.441111113WSep 20 · 04:05Y. Krol1.2511119113O. Melashenko3.75991191LSep 20 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6711118113Y. Krol2.10981191LSep 20 · 00:05V. Lobas1.7311511113Y. Krol2.00811951WSep 19 · 23:05Y. Krol1.831111113M. Marchuk1.838450
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