TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Jicha vs Martin Stusek 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1197111161210––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:15 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Jicha to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Jicha above · Martin Stusek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held David Jicha at 58.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H David Jicha 86–65 Martin Stusek Martin Stusek has won 65 of their 151 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:15What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jicha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
86-65 in 151
Jicha
Correct
gap of 21 in 151, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jicha 1815 vs Stusek 1706
Jicha
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jicha 80% vs Stusek 40%
Jicha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jicha 80% vs Stusek 40%
Jicha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jicha +3 · Stusek -1
Jicha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jicha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jicha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJicha 1.61 / Stusek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Jicha)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13194176
Jicha1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 18) · back after a break
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 52 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 40 of 48
Stusek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 75 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back16% 13 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJicha6wins
AwayStusek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJicha leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJicha71.4%5 of 7
AwayStusek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jicha7Stusek3n = 10Jicha took 7 of 10
S2Jicha6Stusek4n = 10Jicha took 6 of 10
S3Jicha8Stusek2n = 10Jicha took 8 of 10
S4Jicha4Stusek3n = 7Jicha took 4 of 7
S5Jicha0Stusek3n = 3Stusek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJichaStusekJ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.934.7+4.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJichaStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 339 vs 325 / 68551%47.5%173 / 339 vs 325 / 685Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JichaJicha 1.61/Stusek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Jicha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jicha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 20:20D. Jicha351113113M. Stusek2071120
LSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha361177111M. Stusek4161111133
WAug 28 · 18:20D. Jicha381611113M. Stusek1914230
WAug 23 · 09:55D. Jicha4291111113M. Stusek34118961
LAug 23 · 07:55D. Jicha3711119152M. Stusek49971111113
WAug 14 · 19:25D. Jicha331111113M. Stusek236980
LAug 9 · 15:25D. Jicha45101111672M. Stusek49129611113
WAug 8 · 21:54D. Jicha4011711113M. Stusek32811671
WAug 8 · 18:55D. Jicha4011511133M. Stusek376119111
LAug 2 · 17:54D. Jicha4387111162M. Stusek43111164113
D. Jicha10
WSep 25 · 19:50F. Strejc2.2010850D. Jicha1.611211113WSep 18 · 22:00F. Cernota1.83511811162D. Jicha1.87117118183WSep 18 · 20:20M. Stusek2.2571120D. Jicha1.571113113WSep 18 · 19:50F. Strejc2.2012681162D. Jicha1.611011117113LSep 18 · 18:50D. Jicha2.00611111072F. Cernota1.73117512113WSep 7 · 18:25D. Jicha2.101311113T. Vorisek1.6711760WSep 7 · 17:25D. Jicha1.731211113T. Vorisek2.0010660WSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113WSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181
M. Stusek10
WSep 25 · 19:20T. Vorisek1.735111081M. Stusek2.0011912113LSep 22 · 22:33M. Stusek2.207920J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 22 · 20:55P. Silhan2.101141071M. Stusek1.6761112113LSep 22 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.531111127133M. Stusek2.381381011112WSep 22 · 19:25M. Stusek1.801111113T. Vorisek1.917620LSep 21 · 21:58M. Stusek1.7341171142O. Kadavy2.00113115113WSep 21 · 20:55M. Stusek1.83711811153O. Kadavy1.83117118132WSep 21 · 19:55M. Stusek2.75114119143J. Zlamal1.40911711122LSep 21 · 18:55M. Stusek1.8313990T. Vorisek1.831511113LSep 18 · 20:20M. Stusek2.2571120D. Jicha1.571113113
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