TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Martin Stusek vs Jaromir Zlamal 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Martin Stusek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911211––––
Jaromir Zlamal
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Jaromir Zlamal below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 51 set 3, 2-11
51 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 46–95 Jaromir Zlamal Martin Stusek has won 46 of their 141 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Zlamal beat Stusek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Zlamal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zlamal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 2.20 / Zlamal 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zlamal)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13180845
Stusek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 75 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back16% 13 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Zlamal1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 88 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it89% 66 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek3wins
AwayZlamal7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZlamal leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek60%3 of 5
AwayZlamal100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek5Zlamal5n = 10split evenly
S2Stusek3Zlamal7n = 10Zlamal took 7 of 10
S3Stusek1Zlamal9n = 10Zlamal took 9 of 10
S4Stusek2Zlamal4n = 6Zlamal took 4 of 6
S5Stusek3Zlamal2n = 5Stusek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekZlamalS − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.040.8−5.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekZlamalBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 686 vs 208 / 33247.7%62.7%327 / 686 vs 208 / 332Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalStusek 2.20/Zlamal 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 20:25M. Stusek531381011112J. Zlamal541111127133
WSep 21 · 19:55M. Stusek49114119143J. Zlamal50911711122
WSep 17 · 21:25M. Stusek51119911113J. Zlamal3991111352
LSep 15 · 19:55M. Stusek228590J. Zlamal331111113
LSep 9 · 22:00M. Stusek239590J. Zlamal331111113
LSep 9 · 19:55M. Stusek3911114942J. Zlamal48961111113
LSep 8 · 21:25M. Stusek33811681J. Zlamal4211911113
WSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek45111175113J. Zlamal4396111162
LSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek163850J. Zlamal331111113
LAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek199730J. Zlamal331111113
M. Stusek10
WSep 22 · 20:55P. Silhan2.101141071M. Stusek1.6761112113LSep 22 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.531111127133M. Stusek2.381381011112WSep 22 · 19:25M. Stusek1.801111113T. Vorisek1.917620LSep 21 · 21:58M. Stusek1.7341171142O. Kadavy2.00113115113WSep 21 · 20:55M. Stusek1.83711811153O. Kadavy1.83117118132WSep 21 · 19:55M. Stusek2.75114119143J. Zlamal1.40911711122LSep 21 · 18:55M. Stusek1.8313990T. Vorisek1.831511113LSep 18 · 21:30F. Strejc2.001111113M. Stusek1.734940LSep 18 · 20:20M. Stusek2.2571120D. Jicha1.571113113WSep 18 · 19:20M. Stusek1.731111113F. Cernota2.009680
J. Zlamal10
LSep 22 · 21:25T. Vorisek2.2581312113J. Zlamal1.5711111061WSep 22 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.531111127133M. Stusek2.381381011112WSep 22 · 18:55P. Silhan2.38711931J. Zlamal1.5311211113WSep 21 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.6791211113T. Vorisek2.101110661WSep 21 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113T. Vorisek2.108460LSep 21 · 19:55M. Stusek2.75114119143J. Zlamal1.40911711122WSep 21 · 19:25O. Kadavy3.258511101J. Zlamal1.3311113123WSep 17 · 22:38T. Vorisek2.38101040J. Zlamal1.531212113LSep 17 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.4091111352M. Stusek2.75119911113WSep 17 · 19:55T. Vorisek2.63961161J. Zlamal1.4411119113
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