TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Dominik Pawlik vs Erik Precek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411611118811––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDominik Pawlik above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11
70 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Pawlik 9–9 Erik Precek Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Precek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 2.00 / Precek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Precek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13193440
Pawlik2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 50 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Precek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite44% won 34 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik5wins
AwayPrecek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik57.1%4 of 7
AwayPrecek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik7Precek3n = 10Pawlik took 7 of 10
S2Pawlik5Precek5n = 10split evenly
S3Pawlik4Precek6n = 10Precek took 6 of 10
S4Pawlik3Precek5n = 8Precek took 5 of 8
S5Pawlik2Precek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikPrecekPawlik − PrecekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.738.9+1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 495 vs 226 / 48449.1%46.7%243 / 495 vs 226 / 484Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrecekPawlik 2.00/Precek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Precek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Precek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 08:10D. Pawlik4291111113E. Precek32114891
WSep 17 · 12:43D. Pawlik331111113E. Precek226880
LSep 17 · 11:40D. Pawlik52111291192E. Precek44314115113
LJun 25 · 07:10D. Pawlik311137101E. Precek4171111123
LMay 14 · 14:10D. Pawlik337411111E. Precek4311118133
WMay 9 · 07:15D. Pawlik511181110113E. Precek4571181272
WMay 6 · 09:40D. Pawlik4111118113E. Precek25721151
WMay 3 · 06:15D. Pawlik47111375113E. Precek49811111182
LApr 29 · 06:45D. Pawlik48111191162E. Precek52981113113
LApr 18 · 12:10D. Pawlik2991280E. Precek361114113
D. Pawlik10
WSep 25 · 08:10D. Pawlik2.5091111113E. Precek1.50114891LSep 25 · 06:40L. Slavik1.5361111113D. Pawlik2.38118991LSep 25 · 06:10J. Krupnik1.6111118113D. Pawlik2.20451181LSep 24 · 12:39D. Pawlik1.80811111172T. Krenek1.91111395113WSep 24 · 11:40T. Krenek1.676680D. Pawlik2.101111113LSep 24 · 11:10L. Dzida1.831111123D. Pawlik1.8348100LSep 24 · 10:10D. Pawlik1.61116191R. Sedlacek2.2051111113LSep 24 · 08:45J. Krupnik1.5010111111113D. Pawlik2.5012138882LSep 24 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.914101561I. Heuman1.80111213113LSep 24 · 06:45J. Skvrna1.531113410113D. Pawlik2.38211111262
E. Precek10
LSep 25 · 08:10D. Pawlik2.5091111113E. Precek1.50114891LSep 25 · 07:10E. Precek2.207116101J. Krupnik1.6111711123WSep 25 · 05:40L. Slavik1.57111041192E. Precek2.25812114113LSep 23 · 09:14J. Krupnik1.6111711113E. Precek2.20711991WSep 23 · 08:10R. Solle3.257811131E. Precek1.3311117153LSep 23 · 07:10E. Precek2.2041111952R. Benes1.61114811113WSep 23 · 05:40J. Krupnik1.57111181192E. Precek2.25961113113WSep 21 · 21:13A. Kanak1.679880E. Precek2.101111113LSep 21 · 19:45E. Precek2.0051161172A. Kanak1.73119118113WSep 21 · 18:45E. Precek2.0011411113P. Vinansky1.73811331
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