TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Kyryl Darin vs Ondrej Kucirek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1121210117––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:51 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Ondrej Kucirek below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 64.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 25–12 Ondrej Kucirek Ondrej Kucirek has won 12 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-12 in 37
Darin
Correct
gap of 13 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1546 vs Kucirek 1536
Darin
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 80% vs Kucirek 100%
Kucirek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 80% vs Kucirek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +3 · Kucirek +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Darin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucirek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.50 / Kucirek 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Darin)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189405
Darin1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it93% 80 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it76% 106 of 139
Kucirek2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog40% won 47 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin7wins
AwayKucirek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin83.3%5 of 6
AwayKucirek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin6Kucirek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Darin5Kucirek5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin8Kucirek2n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S4Darin2Kucirek3n = 5Kucirek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinKucirekD − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.532.2+6.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinKucirekBasisWin rate · lifetime778 / 1583 vs 219 / 43449.2%50.5%778 / 1583 vs 219 / 434Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.50/Kucirek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 18:00K. Darin341111123O. Kucirek1725100
WAug 2 · 02:30K. Darin4111811113O. Kucirek30611671
LJul 23 · 23:30K. Darin441181691O. Kucirek4771118113
WJul 14 · 01:00K. Darin53911119133O. Kucirek44114711112
WJul 10 · 23:30K. Darin516101111133O. Kucirek44111255112
WJul 9 · 01:00K. Darin341211113O. Kucirek2310670
WJul 2 · 03:00K. Darin341211113O. Kucirek1910720
LJul 2 · 00:30K. Darin2357110O. Kucirek351111133
WMay 13 · 20:00K. Darin341112113O. Kucirek2051050
LMay 12 · 00:30K. Darin378811101O. Kucirek4311119123
K. Darin10
WSep 26 · 03:30K. Darin1.441116113O. Kucirek2.6331470WSep 26 · 01:30T. Andrle2.0011911542K. Darin1.73911711113WSep 26 · 00:00K. Darin1.671111113P. Picek2.107650WSep 25 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.755540K. Darin1.401111113LSep 25 · 13:30K. Darin1.6361211992J. Steffan2.151110511113WSep 25 · 12:00K. Darin1.4411117113L. Malek2.63581191WSep 25 · 11:30A. Svoboda2.505116101K. Darin1.5011811123WSep 25 · 10:00K. Darin1.531111123J. Steffan2.3886100WSep 24 · 16:59K. Darin2.00781111113P. Klusacek1.7311114372WSep 24 · 16:30K. Darin2.20131214113P. Klusacek1.6111141271
O. Kucirek10
LSep 26 · 03:30K. Darin1.441116113O. Kucirek2.6331470WSep 26 · 01:00P. Picek3.40811100O. Kucirek1.301113123WSep 25 · 23:30O. Kucirek2.00114911123T. Andrle1.73811118102WSep 25 · 22:00O. Kucirek2.101511113R. Bartunek1.6713970WSep 24 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.671111113J. Jnr2.108790WSep 24 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.674590O. Kucirek2.101111113LSep 24 · 00:30O. Kucirek2.0056131172T. Andrle1.731111116113WSep 23 · 23:00O. Kucirek1.7311116113J. Jnr2.00271171WSep 23 · 22:00P. Picek3.5061161382O. Kucirek1.281141111113WSep 19 · 02:58D. Horak1.301061181O. Kucirek3.4012119113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.