TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Caban vs Kiejda Patryk 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Jakub Caban
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911811118811––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
911811118811––
H2H Jakub Caban 6–7 Kiejda Patryk Jakub Caban has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Patryk beat Caban 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Patryk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Caban form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCaban 2.20 / Patryk 1.60
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Patryk)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13186557
Caban2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 14 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Patryk1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 106 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCaban4wins
AwayPatryk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCaban50%2 of 4
AwayPatryk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Caban4Patryk6n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S2Caban3Patryk7n = 10Patryk took 7 of 10
S3Caban3Patryk7n = 10Patryk took 7 of 10
S4Caban4Patryk3n = 7Caban took 4 of 7
S5Caban2Patryk1n = 3Caban took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabanPatrykC − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.739.0−4.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabanPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 410 vs 197 / 35155.6%56.1%228 / 410 vs 197 / 351Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykCaban 2.20/Patryk 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 15:30J. Caban121740K. Patryk331111113
WSep 21 · 15:30J. Caban4114124113K. Patryk3912101161
WSep 14 · 17:30J. Caban46711611113K. Patryk4011811282
LSep 8 · 21:00J. Caban177370K. Patryk331111113
LJul 13 · 18:30J. Caban4811912972K. Patryk529111011113
LJul 6 · 19:00J. Caban133640K. Patryk331111113
LJun 30 · 17:00J. Caban411199121K. Patryk4481111143
WJun 24 · 17:30J. Caban4211911113K. Patryk29611571
WJun 9 · 21:40J. Caban51991111113K. Patryk4411117692
LJun 9 · 21:00J. Caban367118101K. Patryk4311911123
J. Caban10
WSep 23 · 21:00J. Caban1.471311113J. Komorowicz2.3411790WSep 23 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.731114791J. Caban1.4081611113WSep 23 · 17:00K. Kos1.5711118372J. Caban2.20981111113WSep 23 · 16:00L. Buklat2.50121191172J. Caban1.48146115113LSep 23 · 15:30J. Caban2.351740K. Patryk1.531111113LSep 21 · 22:30L. Buklat1.5811612113J. Caban2.254111081LSep 21 · 21:00J. Caban2.10621151K. Kos1.6011114113LSep 21 · 19:00L. Buklat1.54111568113J. Caban2.25613111122WSep 21 · 17:00D. Kovtanyuk2.1047131372J. Caban1.6511111111113WSep 21 · 16:00M. Michta1.6041480J. Caban2.101116113
K. Patryk10
LSep 23 · 20:30L. Buklat2.041115113K. Patryk1.6271370WSep 23 · 19:30J. Komorowicz2.13116781K. Patryk1.6491111113LSep 23 · 18:00P. Kedzierski3.2011119123K. Patryk1.326711101WSep 23 · 15:30J. Caban2.351740K. Patryk1.531111113WSep 23 · 14:00K. Kos2.05813110K. Patryk1.701115133WSep 22 · 22:30K. Patryk1.3791111113P. Kedzierski2.60115871WSep 22 · 21:00D. Kovtanyuk2.50111531K. Patryk1.4611311113WSep 22 · 19:30K. Patryk1.86117411113K. Kos1.8391111742WSep 22 · 17:30M. Szostak2.10118571K. Patryk1.6551111113LSep 22 · 15:00J. Komorowicz2.38911139113K. Patryk1.41118111192
Upcoming Matches
J. Caban
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K. Patryk
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