TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Piotr Kedzierski vs Kiejda Patryk 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Piotr Kedzierski
Home
3.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161179111210––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.32
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:21 and never touched — 68.4% is still 68.4%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
68.4%
68.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1161179111210––
H2H Piotr Kedzierski 4–12 Kiejda Patryk Piotr Kedzierski has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (71%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Patryk
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kedzierski 1358 vs Patryk 1475
Patryk
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kedzierski 20% vs Patryk 100%
Patryk
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kedzierski 40% vs Patryk 80%
Patryk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kedzierski -4 · Patryk +6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKedzierski 3.20 / Patryk 1.32
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Patryk)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13184564
Kedzierski3.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 39 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Patryk1.32
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 106 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKedzierski3wins
AwayPatryk7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKedzierskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPatryk75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kedzierski2Patryk8n = 10Patryk took 8 of 10
S2Kedzierski3Patryk7n = 10Patryk took 7 of 10
S3Kedzierski4Patryk6n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S4Kedzierski3Patryk4n = 7Patryk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKedzierskiPatrykK − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.737.8−9.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKedzierskiPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 458 vs 196 / 34838.7%56.3%177 / 458 vs 196 / 348Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykKedzierski 3.20/Patryk 1.32
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kedzierski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 22:30P. Kedzierski31115871K. Patryk4291111113
LSep 22 · 14:30P. Kedzierski27351181K. Patryk4211119113
LSep 15 · 17:00P. Kedzierski28851141K. Patryk3911116113
LSep 9 · 15:30P. Kedzierski115420K. Patryk331111113
LSep 8 · 14:30P. Kedzierski163490K. Patryk331111113
WAug 26 · 20:00P. Kedzierski3811511113K. Patryk32411981
LAug 22 · 09:05P. Kedzierski2231180K. Patryk351113113
WAug 18 · 20:00P. Kedzierski3731112113K. Patryk361161091
WAug 15 · 20:05P. Kedzierski506111012113K. Patryk48116121092
LAug 4 · 17:30P. Kedzierski27511381K. Patryk3811511113
P. Kedzierski10
LSep 23 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.731114791J. Caban1.4081611113LSep 23 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.10118661L. Buklat1.3351111113LSep 23 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.05771112102J. Komorowicz1.701111810123LSep 22 · 22:30K. Patryk1.3791111113P. Kedzierski2.60115871LSep 22 · 20:00J. Komorowicz1.8211119113P. Kedzierski1.88991191WSep 22 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.1011811113D. Kovtanyuk1.65911391WSep 22 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.6551111113K. Kos1.33117581WSep 22 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.401111113M. Szostak1.507680LSep 22 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.48351181K. Patryk1.3811119113LSep 15 · 22:40P. Kedzierski2.4961181192K. Kos1.45119117113
K. Patryk10
WSep 23 · 19:30J. Komorowicz2.13116781K. Patryk1.6491111113WSep 23 · 15:30J. Caban2.351740K. Patryk1.531111113WSep 23 · 14:00K. Kos2.05813110K. Patryk1.701115133WSep 22 · 22:30K. Patryk1.3791111113P. Kedzierski2.60115871WSep 22 · 21:00D. Kovtanyuk2.50111531K. Patryk1.4611311113WSep 22 · 19:30K. Patryk1.86117411113K. Kos1.8391111742WSep 22 · 17:30M. Szostak2.10118571K. Patryk1.6551111113LSep 22 · 15:00J. Komorowicz2.38911139113K. Patryk1.41118111192WSep 22 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.48351181K. Patryk1.3811119113WSep 21 · 21:30D. Kovtanyuk—4250K. Patryk—1111113
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