TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Kobets vs Dmytro Derevynskyi 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Vitalii Kobets
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141156111012114
Dmytro Derevynskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:31 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Derevynskyi to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Kobets above · Dmytro Derevynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 85 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Dmytro Derevynskyi at 61.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kobets 3–3 Dmytro Derevynskyi Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Derevynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kobets 1458 vs Derevynskyi 1586
Derevynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kobets 40% vs Derevynskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kobets 30% vs Derevynskyi 60%
Derevynskyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kobets -3 · Derevynskyi -1
Kobets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Derevynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derevynskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 2.25 / Derevynskyi 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Derevynskyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13186328
Kobets2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 58 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Derevynskyi1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 198 of 338
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it71% 140 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKobets3wins
AwayDerevynskyi3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKobets33.3%1 of 3
AwayDerevynskyi33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kobets3Derevynskyi3n = 6split evenly
S2Kobets4Derevynskyi2n = 6Kobets took 4 of 6
S3Kobets2Derevynskyi4n = 6Derevynskyi took 4 of 6
S4Kobets4Derevynskyi2n = 6Kobets took 4 of 6
S5Kobets1Derevynskyi2n = 3Derevynskyi took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKobetsDerevynskyiK − DBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match41.541.8−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsDerevynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 840 vs 481 / 87751.6%54.9%433 / 840 vs 481 / 877Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DerevynskyiKobets 2.25/Derevynskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Derevynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kobets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 15 · 19:25V. Kobets41111136102D. Derevynskyi49961111123
WAug 26 · 22:23V. Kobets4211124153D. Derevynskyi4281011131
WAug 20 · 01:35V. Kobets4291111113D. Derevynskyi29118641
LAug 12 · 01:05V. Kobets4111671162D. Derevynskyi46611117113
LAug 4 · 19:55V. Kobets361111951D. Derevynskyi4313811113
WJul 23 · 01:05V. Kobets47671112113D. Derevynskyi42111141062
V. Kobets10
WSep 24 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.0051211652V. Kobets1.731110811113LSep 24 · 15:55O. Melashenko1.671111113V. Kobets2.108870LSep 24 · 14:25V. Kobets1.83107111382S. Khandetskyi1.831211811113LSep 15 · 19:25D. Derevynskyi1.57961111123V. Kobets2.25111136102WSep 15 · 18:25V. Kobets2.1011117143O. Melashenko1.677511121WSep 15 · 17:25V. Kobets1.306121111113D. Rehotun3.4011148782LSep 15 · 15:55V. Kobets1.67111171182Y. Sokoltsov2.10613114113LSep 15 · 13:55V. Kobets1.8061011121S. Khandetskyi1.9111125143WSep 15 · 03:05V. Kobets1.4451111113D. Rehotun2.63118561LSep 15 · 01:35V. Kobets2.3811660H. Kulishov1.531311113
D. Derevynskyi10
LSep 24 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov2.3811119113D. Derevynskyi1.53771181WSep 24 · 13:55O. Melashenko2.25118111042D. Derevynskyi1.57911912113LSep 24 · 04:25D. Derevynskyi1.738860H. Kulishov2.001111113WSep 24 · 02:25Y. Stepanchuk3.25117771D. Derevynskyi1.3371111113LSep 24 · 24:25S. Khandetskyi2.50149117113D. Derevynskyi1.50121141152WSep 23 · 23:25D. Derevynskyi1.571111113K. Hrynenko2.256790WSep 23 · 22:25S. Pitsyk2.75115631D. Derevynskyi1.4071111113WSep 19 · 03:35O. Gomilko1.50613691D. Derevynskyi2.50111111113WSep 19 · 02:35M. Marchuk2.501568111D. Derevynskyi1.50131111133WSep 15 · 19:25D. Derevynskyi1.57961111123V. Kobets2.25111136102
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.