TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhenii Sokoltsov vs Vitalii Kobets 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111210118611511
Vitalii Kobets
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kobets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Vitalii Kobets below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 90 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Vitalii Kobets at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 24–28 Vitalii Kobets Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 24 of their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:21What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kobets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-28 in 52
Kobets
Correct
gap of 4 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1538 vs Kobets 1472
Sokoltsov
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 80% vs Kobets 40%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kobets 40%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +2 · Kobets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kobets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kobets form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 2.00 / Kobets 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kobets)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13186261
Sokoltsov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 52 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Kobets1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 75 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov5wins
AwayKobets5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov100%4 of 4
AwayKobets83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov4Kobets6n = 10Kobets took 6 of 10
S2Sokoltsov7Kobets3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S3Sokoltsov5Kobets5n = 10split evenly
S4Sokoltsov2Kobets5n = 7Kobets took 5 of 7
S5Sokoltsov2Kobets1n = 3Sokoltsov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKobetsS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.939.1−3.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKobetsBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 543 vs 434 / 84149%51.6%266 / 543 vs 434 / 841Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KobetsSokoltsov 2.00/Kobets 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kobets · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kobets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 15:55Y. Sokoltsov45613114113V. Kobets48111171182
LAug 31 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov31711491V. Kobets4211911113
LJul 29 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov214980V. Kobets331111113
WJul 16 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov44111156113V. Kobets4167111162
WJul 13 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov361111143V. Kobets2998120
WJul 6 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov4011711113V. Kobets31911741
LJul 2 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov32891141V. Kobets4211119113
WJun 23 · 20:25Y. Sokoltsov381113143V. Kobets28511120
LJun 12 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov36812791V. Kobets43111011113
LJun 8 · 14:25Y. Sokoltsov3651441122V. Kobets541112119113
Y. Sokoltsov10
WSep 24 · 16:25Y. Sokoltsov1.91111011113S. Khandetskyi1.80812911WSep 24 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov2.3811119113D. Derevynskyi1.53771181LSep 24 · 13:25Y. Sokoltsov2.639870H. Kulishov1.441111113WSep 24 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.57116811113A. Peretiatko2.2591111962WSep 24 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.576101111113M. Skliar2.2511124382WSep 24 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.441111113M. Fomin2.638880LSep 23 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7331171192D. Kim2.00113113113LSep 23 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61411671D. Us2.2011711113WSep 22 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.401161091Y. Sokoltsov2.7581112113LSep 22 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.83851381S. Khandetskyi1.83111111113
V. Kobets10
WSep 24 · 16:55V. Kobets2.251111610113D. Derevynskyi1.5745111242LSep 24 · 15:55O. Melashenko1.671111113V. Kobets2.108870LSep 24 · 14:25V. Kobets1.83107111382S. Khandetskyi1.831211811113LSep 15 · 19:25D. Derevynskyi1.57961111123V. Kobets2.25111136102WSep 15 · 18:25V. Kobets2.1011117143O. Melashenko1.677511121WSep 15 · 17:25V. Kobets1.306121111113D. Rehotun3.4011148782LSep 15 · 15:55V. Kobets1.67111171182Y. Sokoltsov2.10613114113LSep 15 · 13:55V. Kobets1.8061011121S. Khandetskyi1.9111125143WSep 15 · 03:05V. Kobets1.4451111113D. Rehotun2.63118561LSep 15 · 01:35V. Kobets2.3811660H. Kulishov1.531311113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Sokoltsov
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V. Kobets
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