TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr V Kovalchuk vs Eduard Rubtsov 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1197111113117811
Eduard Rubtsov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingOleksandr V Kovalchuk above · Eduard Rubtsov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr V Kovalchuk 113–107 Eduard Rubtsov Eduard Rubtsov has won 107 of their 220 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Kovalchuk beat Rubtsov 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kovalchuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 1.73 / Rubtsov 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Kovalchuk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13185349
Kovalchuk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 48 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it71% 32 of 45
Rubtsov2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 97 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back13% 21 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk6wins
AwayRubtsov4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk85.7%6 of 7
AwayRubtsov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk7Rubtsov3n = 10Kovalchuk took 7 of 10
S2Kovalchuk6Rubtsov4n = 10Kovalchuk took 6 of 10
S3Kovalchuk4Rubtsov6n = 10Rubtsov took 6 of 10
S4Kovalchuk4Rubtsov3n = 7Kovalchuk took 4 of 7
S5Kovalchuk2Rubtsov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukRubtsovK − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.235.2+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukRubtsovBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 780 vs 293 / 76142.3%38.5%330 / 780 vs 293 / 761Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalchukKovalchuk 1.73/Rubtsov 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Kovalchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rubtsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 13:35O. Kovalchuk331111113E. Rubtsov208840
WSep 23 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk43111110113E. Rubtsov28431291
WSep 17 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk44111156113E. Rubtsov3893111142
WSep 16 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk4511118153E. Rubtsov399611131
WSep 9 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk47111177113E. Rubtsov3945111182
WSep 9 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk331111113E. Rubtsov177460
LSep 3 · 18:25O. Kovalchuk301110541E. Rubtsov4281211113
LSep 2 · 21:25O. Kovalchuk4497111162E. Rubtsov46111158113
LAug 26 · 18:55O. Kovalchuk3882111162E. Rubtsov48111178113
LAug 25 · 21:25O. Kovalchuk2511680E. Rubtsov351311113
O. Kovalchuk10
WSep 23 · 16:35V. Kovalenko1.83911871O. Kovalchuk1.8311711113WSep 23 · 15:05P. Plakushchyi1.5792110O. Kovalchuk2.251111133WSep 23 · 13:35E. Rubtsov1.918840O. Kovalchuk1.801111113LSep 23 · 12:35S. Ponomarenko1.051211113O. Kovalchuk8.5010890LSep 23 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk1.8061181182V. Kovalenko1.91117119113LSep 23 · 01:55A. Chepurnyi1.36611111123O. Kovalchuk3.00111196102WSep 23 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk1.80111110113E. Rubtsov1.91431291LSep 22 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.531411113O. Kovalchuk2.3812870LSep 22 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk7.0091111692S. Ponomarenko1.08116511113WSep 17 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk1.731110114113V. Panasenko2.0041251132
E. Rubtsov10
WSep 23 · 17:05E. Rubtsov9.001111113S. Ponomarenko1.048870WSep 23 · 16:05E. Rubtsov2.6381111113P. Plakushchyi1.44118731LSep 23 · 14:35E. Rubtsov2.63612581V. Kovalenko1.44111011113LSep 23 · 13:35E. Rubtsov1.918840O. Kovalchuk1.801111113WSep 23 · 04:25S. Ponomarenko1.069111071E. Rubtsov8.0011612113LSep 23 · 02:55E. Rubtsov2.509490V. Kovalenko1.501111113LSep 23 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk1.80111110113E. Rubtsov1.91431291LSep 22 · 22:55A. Chepurnyi1.361110611133E. Rubtsov3.00512116112LSep 22 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi1.441411113E. Rubtsov2.6312590LSep 17 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.361111113E. Rubtsov3.005870
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