TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Kubiak vs Zbigniew Nocun 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Artur Kubiak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
51110121416––––
Zbigniew Nocun
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Nocun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Kubiak above · Zbigniew Nocun below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 14-16
Point 68 set 3, 14-16 — our read held Zbigniew Nocun at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Artur Kubiak 32–28 Zbigniew Nocun Zbigniew Nocun has won 28 of their 60 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Nocun beat Kubiak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Nocun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-28 in 60
Kubiak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubiak 1344 vs Nocun 1469
Nocun
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubiak 40% vs Nocun 80%
Nocun
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubiak 50% vs Nocun 70%
Nocun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubiak +1 · Nocun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nocun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nocun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubiak 1.83 / Nocun 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nocun)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13182591
Kubiak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Nocun1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubiak4wins
AwayNocun6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNocun leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubiak66.7%2 of 3
AwayNocun71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubiak3Nocun7n = 10Nocun took 7 of 10
S2Kubiak4Nocun6n = 10Nocun took 6 of 10
S3Kubiak5Nocun5n = 10split evenly
S4Kubiak2Nocun5n = 7Nocun took 5 of 7
S5Kubiak3Nocun1n = 4Kubiak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubiakNocunK − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.141.7−6.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubiakNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime489 / 902 vs 693 / 115854.2%59.8%489 / 902 vs 693 / 1158Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NocunKubiak 1.83/Nocun 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nocun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nocun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 01:25A. Kubiak29510140Z. Nocun391112163
LSep 23 · 19:20A. Kubiak3811101161Z. Nocun4413128113
LAug 31 · 01:45A. Kubiak361361521Z. Nocun50151113113
LAug 30 · 16:15A. Kubiak114340Z. Nocun331111113
WAug 16 · 01:10A. Kubiak47712611113Z. Nocun50111011992
WAug 15 · 19:10A. Kubiak44741111113Z. Nocun3911113592
LAug 13 · 01:45A. Kubiak31811661Z. Nocun4111811113
WAug 12 · 16:15A. Kubiak351113113Z. Nocun2461170
LJun 30 · 24:30A. Kubiak3811119432Z. Nocun48781111113
WJun 29 · 18:30A. Kubiak42114115113Z. Nocun4991191192
A. Kubiak10
WSep 24 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.10167311112A. Kubiak1.671411118133LSep 23 · 22:55A. Staniczek3.40111184113A. Kubiak1.3053111192WSep 23 · 21:20K. Delikatny2.25611531A. Kubiak1.5411711113LSep 23 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.7311134133A. Kubiak2.0071111111LSep 23 · 19:20A. Kubiak1.8311101161Z. Nocun1.8313128113LSep 23 · 18:10A. Skupinski2.63116165113A. Kubiak1.44611141182WSep 23 · 16:55A. Staniczek3.00121340A. Kubiak1.361415113WSep 23 · 15:25K. Delikatny2.25841181A. Kubiak1.5711115113LSep 22 · 02:20J. Michalik2.00311511163A. Kubiak1.71116118142WSep 22 · 01:35A. Staniczek2.75111180A. Kubiak1.401313113
Z. Nocun10
LSep 24 · 02:10A. Staniczek3.401111113Z. Nocun1.303980LSep 23 · 23:20K. Delikatny2.381111113Z. Nocun1.538850WSep 23 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.2011930Z. Nocun1.611311113WSep 23 · 21:00J. Skorupa2.2511810131Z. Nocun1.5781112153WSep 23 · 20:05A. Staniczek3.2531250Z. Nocun1.331114113WSep 23 · 19:20A. Kubiak1.8311101161Z. Nocun1.8313128113WSep 23 · 17:20K. Delikatny2.251061161Z. Nocun1.5712116113WSep 23 · 16:35A. Skupinski2.6348121152Z. Nocun1.441111104113LSep 23 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.10111188113Z. Nocun1.6799111192WSep 21 · 02:35Z. Nocun1.67711148113G. Mucha2.10119121132
Upcoming Matches
A. Kubiak
Nothing scheduled
Z. Nocun
Sep 24 · 17:55Z. Nocun—G. Mucha——Sep 24 · 18:45Z. Nocun—M. Baran——Sep 24 · 19:55Z. Nocun—M. Lewczuk——Sep 24 · 21:05Z. Nocun—A. Staniczek——Sep 24 · 22:20Z. Nocun—D. Molenda——Sep 24 · 23:55Z. Nocun—G. Mucha——Sep 25 · 24:45Z. Nocun—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 25 · 01:55Z. Nocun—M. Lewczuk——Sep 25 · 03:05Z. Nocun—A. Staniczek——Sep 25 · 04:20Z. Nocun—M. Baran——
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