TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Peretiatko vs Mykyta Fomin 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12106111113811––
Mykyta Fomin
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykyta Fomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 82 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Mykyta Fomin at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 28–23 Mykyta Fomin Mykyta Fomin has won 23 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:16What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-23 in 51
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1405 vs Fomin 1443
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 20% vs Fomin 60%
Fomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 30% vs Fomin 60%
Fomin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko -3 · Fomin -1
Peretiatko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 1.91 / Fomin 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fomin)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13180600
Peretiatko1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 88 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 71
Fomin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 35 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it56% 24 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePeretiatko5wins
AwayFomin5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko100%4 of 4
AwayFomin83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S2Peretiatko5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S3Peretiatko5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S4Peretiatko1Fomin2n = 3Fomin took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoFominP − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.632.3−0.7per matchSweeps34−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoFominBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 768 vs 284 / 58646%48.5%353 / 768 vs 284 / 586Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominPeretiatko 1.91/Fomin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 13:55A. Peretiatko147160M. Fomin331111113
WSep 18 · 02:35A. Peretiatko50111198113M. Fomin4467111192
LSep 14 · 14:55A. Peretiatko176650M. Fomin331111113
WSep 11 · 03:35A. Peretiatko331111113M. Fomin237790
LSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko32101480M. Fomin391216113
WSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko4181111113M. Fomin29111981
LSep 1 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2567120M. Fomin361111143
WAug 31 · 24:35A. Peretiatko371112143M. Fomin26410120
LAug 24 · 21:35A. Peretiatko348411111M. Fomin4411119133
WAug 17 · 22:05A. Peretiatko331111113M. Fomin166460
A. Peretiatko10
LSep 24 · 01:05A. Peretiatko2.008680D. Us1.731111113LSep 23 · 23:35A. Peretiatko1.61119291M. Skliar2.2091111113LSep 23 · 21:35A. Peretiatko1.614860D. Kim2.201111113WSep 21 · 19:25D. Us1.731211761A. Peretiatko2.0014811113LSep 21 · 18:25A. Peretiatko1.831112571D. Rehotun1.8391411113WSep 21 · 17:25A. Peretiatko1.61611611123M. Skliar2.20118116102WSep 21 · 15:55A. Peretiatko2.20111169113P. Ishchyk1.6166111152LSep 21 · 13:55A. Peretiatko1.807160M. Fomin1.911111113LSep 21 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.91111134113A. Peretiatko1.8099111122LSep 21 · 02:05A. Peretiatko2.388840H. Kulishov1.531111113
M. Fomin10
LSep 24 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.441111113M. Fomin2.638880WSep 23 · 23:05M. Fomin1.579101212113D. Us2.251112101082LSep 23 · 22:05M. Skliar1.911111113M. Fomin1.807820WSep 21 · 20:25D. Rehotun1.8011511152M. Fomin1.91711116113WSep 21 · 18:55M. Fomin1.80119127113M. Skliar1.91911101182LSep 21 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.00851511113M. Fomin1.73111113492WSep 21 · 14:55D. Us1.837970M. Fomin1.831111113WSep 21 · 13:55A. Peretiatko1.807160M. Fomin1.911111113WSep 18 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.831111591M. Fomin1.8381311113LSep 18 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.83111198113M. Fomin1.8367111192
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