TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Grebeniuk vs Dmytro Zeniuk 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Andrii Grebeniuk
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911811114118911
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:18 and never touched — 86.6% is still 86.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Grebeniuk to win
86.6%
86.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Grebeniuk above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Grebeniuk at 86.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Grebeniuk 3–0 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Grebeniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Grebeniuk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grebeniuk 2067 vs Zeniuk 2024
Grebeniuk
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grebeniuk 40% vs Zeniuk 60%
Zeniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grebeniuk 60% vs Zeniuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grebeniuk +1 · Zeniuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Grebeniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 87% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrebeniuk 1.17 / Zeniuk 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Grebeniuk)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179731
Grebeniuk1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 30 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Zeniuk4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 49 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeGrebeniuk3wins
AwayZeniuk0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderGrebeniuk leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrebeniuk100%3 of 3
AwayZeniukn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grebeniuk3Zeniuk0n = 3Grebeniuk took 3 of 3
S2Grebeniuk2Zeniuk1n = 3Grebeniuk took 2 of 3
S3Grebeniuk0Zeniuk3n = 3Zeniuk took 3 of 3
S4Grebeniuk3Zeniuk0n = 3Grebeniuk took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricGrebeniukZeniukG − ZBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match43.039.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrebeniukZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 149 vs 363 / 71674.5%50.7%111 / 149 vs 363 / 716Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrebeniukGrebeniuk 1.17/Zeniuk 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Grebeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 1 · 05:05A. Grebeniuk3811115113D. Zeniuk34681191
WJun 30 · 16:35A. Grebeniuk491110611113D. Zeniuk4691211862
WMay 19 · 19:05A. Grebeniuk4211137113D. Zeniuk378111171
A. Grebeniuk10
WSep 23 · 09:05V. Verbyany5.005490A. Grebeniuk1.141111113LSep 23 · 08:05A. Grebeniuk1.30101114982A. Molochko3.401281211113LSep 23 · 07:05N. Danyliuk2.631111511113A. Grebeniuk1.4476111382WSep 23 · 05:35A. Grebeniuk1.171111113B. Kohut4.509830LJun 19 · 18:55B. Kohut4.50111266123A. Grebeniuk1.172101111102WJun 19 · 17:25A. Grebeniuk1.2561111113V. Hryban3.75113991WJun 19 · 15:25A. Molochko3.75116411112A. Grebeniuk1.25711118133WJun 19 · 13:25N. Danyliuk3.00911571A. Grebeniuk1.3611811113WJun 19 · 12:25V. Verbyany5.50911621A. Grebeniuk1.1311811113LJun 19 · 02:45N. Danyliuk2.7511115113A. Grebeniuk1.40491161
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 23 · 10:05A. Molochko1.8311711133D. Zeniuk1.838119111WSep 23 · 08:35N. Danyliuk1.30811841D. Zeniuk3.4011911113LSep 23 · 06:35B. Kohut1.8311116113D. Zeniuk1.83131171WSep 23 · 04:35V. Verbyany1.736940D. Zeniuk2.001111113WSep 22 · 17:15D. Zeniuk2.001211113A. Molochko1.7310970WSep 22 · 16:05B. Kohut1.73881131D. Zeniuk2.0011117113LSep 22 · 14:35V. Verbyany1.6711911113D. Zeniuk2.10711821LSep 22 · 13:05A. Molochko1.83611811113D. Zeniuk1.8311911492WSep 22 · 12:05N. Danyliuk1.25117951D. Zeniuk3.7591111113WSep 22 · 01:38D. Zeniuk1.80611911123A. Molochko1.91118119102
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