TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Slosarczyk vs Sebastian Szostok 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911411––––
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:35 and never touched — 82.7% is still 82.7%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
82.7%
82.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPawel Slosarczyk above · Sebastian Szostok below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 53 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Sebastian Szostok at 82.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 7–29 Sebastian Szostok Pawel Slosarczyk has won 7 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-29 in 36
Szostok
Correct
gap of 22 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1248 vs Szostok 1441
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 40% vs Szostok 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 40% vs Szostok 70%
Szostok
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk -1 · Szostok -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Szostok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 4.33 / Szostok 1.20
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Szostok)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13177341
Slosarczyk4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 110 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back13% 27 of 210
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 129
Szostok1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 337 of 523
Up 2–0, closes it94% 128 of 136
Up 1–0, closes it80% 219 of 274
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk0wins
AwaySzostok10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk0%0 of 3
AwaySzostok100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk3Szostok7n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S2Slosarczyk1Szostok9n = 10Szostok took 9 of 10
S3Slosarczyk1Szostok9n = 10Szostok took 9 of 10
S4Slosarczyk1Szostok4n = 5Szostok took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykSzostokSlosarczyk − SzostokBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match26.439.0−12.6per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 898 vs 910 / 157238.1%57.9%342 / 898 vs 910 / 1572Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.340.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSlosarczyk 4.33/Szostok 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.7%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 02:10P. Slosarczyk27211861S. Szostok4011711113
LSep 21 · 23:05P. Slosarczyk155460S. Szostok331111113
LSep 21 · 24:25P. Slosarczyk29115941S. Szostok4291111113
LSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2791260S. Szostok361114113
LAug 21 · 22:55P. Slosarczyk2312650S. Szostok361411113
LAug 21 · 16:55P. Slosarczyk3912351272S. Szostok5310111110113
LAug 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk175840S. Szostok331111113
LAug 9 · 22:40P. Slosarczyk29127551S. Szostok43101111113
LJul 28 · 11:00P. Slosarczyk185760S. Szostok331111113
LJul 28 · 04:55P. Slosarczyk409911111S. Szostok4111116133
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 23 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk3.0055120W. Urban1.361111143WSep 23 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk2.2512811113P. Przewlocki1.571011541LSep 23 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.2547100P. Polok1.571111123WSep 23 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk3.40121110113K. Slawinski1.301091251LSep 22 · 05:05G. Marud1.57871111113P. Slosarczyk2.2011119972WSep 22 · 03:55P. Slosarczyk2.3911911113P. Kurek1.41911671LSep 22 · 02:10S. Szostok1.4211711113P. Slosarczyk2.67211861LSep 22 · 01:10M. Sikon1.6881111113P. Slosarczyk1.87117691WSep 21 · 23:50M. Baron1.58811612122P. Slosarczyk2.021181110143LSep 21 · 23:05S. Szostok1.411111113P. Slosarczyk2.605460
S. Szostok10
LSep 23 · 09:25P. Polok1.67131112113S. Szostok2.101191491LSep 23 · 07:20S. Szostok2.10613591K. Slawinski1.67111111113WSep 23 · 06:05W. Urban2.3871111892S. Szostok1.53115311113LSep 23 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.3812511113S. Szostok1.531011591WSep 23 · 03:25P. Polok1.67581151S. Szostok2.1011116113LSep 22 · 04:20M. Baron2.411111143S. Szostok1.5173120WSep 22 · 03:30G. Marud2.09111377112S. Szostok1.536111111133WSep 22 · 02:10S. Szostok1.4211711113P. Slosarczyk2.67211861WSep 22 · 24:50S. Szostok1.591111133P. Kurek1.9979110WSep 21 · 23:05S. Szostok1.411111113P. Slosarczyk2.605460
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