TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Pruszkowski vs Karol Jablonski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111161210––––
Karol Jablonski
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
13111161210––––
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 5–0 Karol Jablonski Karol Jablonski has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Pruszkowski beat Jablonski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1462 vs Jablonski 1401
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 80% vs Jablonski 60%
Pruszkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 70% vs Jablonski 50%
Pruszkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +2 · Jablonski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.50 / Jablonski 2.40
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13170795
Pruszkowski1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 451 of 693
Up 2–0, closes it95% 226 of 238
Up 1–0, closes it83% 347 of 420
Jablonski2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 36 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back29% 14 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back19% 5 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePruszkowski5wins
AwayJablonski0wins
Pruszkowski leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski100%4 of 4
AwayJablonskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski4Jablonski1n = 5Pruszkowski took 4 of 5
S2Pruszkowski3Jablonski2n = 5Pruszkowski took 3 of 5
S3Pruszkowski5Jablonski0n = 5Pruszkowski took 5 of 5
S4Pruszkowski3Jablonski0n = 3Pruszkowski took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiJablonskiP − JBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match39.225.0+14.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiJablonskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1142 / 1804 vs 82 / 17463.3%47.1%1142 / 1804 vs 82 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.50/Jablonski 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.7%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 22 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski43101111113K. Jablonski33127861
WMay 27 · 14:45J. Pruszkowski341111123K. Jablonski1954100
WMay 27 · 11:05J. Pruszkowski44111011123K. Jablonski366128101
WApr 16 · 16:40J. Pruszkowski4211911113K. Jablonski23211641
WApr 16 · 10:40J. Pruszkowski331111113K. Jablonski145540
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 22 · 15:30J. Pruszkowski2.00911127123K. Slawinski1.701121011102WSep 22 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.371111113W. Buczynski2.854890LSep 22 · 12:45J. Pruszkowski1.607760J. Pelka2.151111113WSep 22 · 11:30J. Pruszkowski1.501111109113O. Vincenec2.5039121192WSep 22 · 10:20J. Pelka2.709990J. Pruszkowski1.411111113LSep 22 · 09:30K. Slawinski1.7314117113J. Pruszkowski2.001281171WSep 22 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski1.41101111113K. Jablonski2.60127861LSep 22 · 07:10J. Pruszkowski1.80111151142O. Vincenec1.85136113113WSep 22 · 06:20W. Buczynski3.204480J. Pruszkowski1.321111113WSep 21 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.401111113R. Idaczyk2.758580
K. Jablonski10
LSep 22 · 15:55K. Jablonski1.75116871O. Vincenec1.9541111113LSep 22 · 14:45K. Slawinski1.6011118113K. Jablonski2.15891191WSep 22 · 13:30W. Buczynski1.83139871K. Jablonski1.86111111113WSep 22 · 11:55J. Pelka1.851161313102K. Jablonski1.858111115123WSep 22 · 11:05K. Slawinski1.55111231192K. Jablonski2.25714115113WSep 22 · 09:55K. Jablonski1.8611911113O. Vincenec1.83711391LSep 22 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski1.41101111113K. Jablonski2.60127861WSep 22 · 07:30W. Buczynski1.90691131K. Jablonski1.7611113113LSep 22 · 05:55J. Pelka1.901111113K. Jablonski1.804990LSep 15 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.481111143K. Jablonski2.3474120
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