TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Mateusz Rutkowski
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118113116––––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
118113116––––
H2H Mateusz Rutkowski 5–5 Karol Wisniewski Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:26What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rutkowski 1692 vs Wisniewski 1628
Rutkowski
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rutkowski 40% vs Wisniewski 60%
Wisniewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rutkowski 40% vs Wisniewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rutkowski +2 · Wisniewski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRutkowski 1.65 / Wisniewski 2.05
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Rutkowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13167451
Rutkowski1.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 360 of 505
Up 2–0, closes it98% 177 of 181
Up 1–0, closes it89% 284 of 318
Wisniewski2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 210 of 552
Down 0–1, comes back19% 64 of 343
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 209
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRutkowski5wins
AwayWisniewski5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRutkowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayWisniewski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rutkowski7Wisniewski3n = 10Rutkowski took 7 of 10
S2Rutkowski5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Rutkowski5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Rutkowski2Wisniewski6n = 8Wisniewski took 6 of 8
S5Rutkowski3Wisniewski3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRutkowskiWisniewskiR − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.640.7−1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRutkowskiWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime808 / 1435 vs 980 / 217756.3%45%808 / 1435 vs 980 / 2177Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiRutkowski 1.65/Wisniewski 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 03:00M. Rutkowski43111272113K. Wisniewski45710111162
LSep 18 · 09:45M. Rutkowski34911681K. Wisniewski4011711113
LAug 14 · 24:10M. Rutkowski4311411892K. Wisniewski48611911113
WAug 12 · 23:45M. Rutkowski471111410113K. Wisniewski4897111292
WAug 11 · 23:45M. Rutkowski3911611113K. Wisniewski29711561
LAug 10 · 21:00M. Rutkowski4171111482K. Wisniewski46116711113
LApr 24 · 12:20M. Rutkowski249690K. Wisniewski331111113
WFeb 15 · 20:50M. Rutkowski42134113113K. Wisniewski47111161182
WJan 23 · 13:45M. Rutkowski341112113K. Wisniewski2371060
LJan 16 · 12:05M. Rutkowski491161011112K. Wisniewski48911123133
M. Rutkowski10
WSep 21 · 10:05M. Sklensky1.5474131192M. Rutkowski2.351111117113WSep 21 · 09:20M. Rutkowski1.801110811123P. Jendrzejewski1.90612116102LSep 21 · 08:30M. Rutkowski1.85651151K. Kapik1.8011118113LSep 21 · 06:50M. Rutkowski2.403260M. Sklensky1.501111113LSep 21 · 05:35M. Rutkowski1.80611661P. Jendrzejewski1.9011711113LSep 21 · 04:00M. Rutkowski2.408660K. Wloczko1.501111113WSep 21 · 03:00M. Rutkowski1.57111272113K. Wisniewski2.25710111162LSep 18 · 14:15M. Rutkowski3.307890M. Olejnik1.271111113LSep 18 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.651111133M. Rutkowski2.1088110WSep 18 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80118111192M. Rutkowski1.90911135113
K. Wisniewski10
WSep 21 · 10:30K. Kapik1.751191271K. Wisniewski1.9061114113WSep 21 · 09:00M. Sklensky1.40551191K. Wisniewski2.6511113113LSep 21 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.65129145133K. Wisniewski2.0510111211112WSep 21 · 07:15K. Kapik1.719950K. Wisniewski2.001111113LSep 21 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.3611711113K. Wisniewski2.95711681LSep 21 · 04:25M. Sklensky1.351511113K. Wisniewski2.9513480LSep 21 · 03:00M. Rutkowski1.57111272113K. Wisniewski2.25710111162WSep 18 · 13:50M. Sklensky1.37101191192K. Wisniewski2.80124118113LSep 18 · 13:00A. Daniel1.5011122123K. Wisniewski2.3551011101LSep 18 · 12:10K. Wisniewski1.68111113672D. Kostal2.05351511113
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