TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113116911115––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:24 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
113116911115––
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 2–2 Karol Wisniewski Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Jendrzejewski beat Wisniewski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:24What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1643 vs Wisniewski 1615
Jendrzejewski
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Wisniewski 60%
Wisniewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Wisniewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski -1 · Wisniewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.80 / Wisniewski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13167438
Jendrzejewski1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 133 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it97% 67 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it82% 108 of 131
Wisniewski1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 210 of 552
Down 0–1, comes back19% 64 of 343
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 209
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski2wins
AwayWisniewski2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski2Wisniewski2n = 4split evenly
S2Jendrzejewski2Wisniewski2n = 4split evenly
S3Jendrzejewski3Wisniewski1n = 4Jendrzejewski took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiWisniewskiJ − WBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match37.839.2−1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime370 / 757 vs 980 / 217848.9%45%370 / 757 vs 980 / 2178Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiJendrzejewski 1.80/Wisniewski 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 21 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski53129145133K. Wisniewski5510111211112
LSep 17 · 05:15P. Jendrzejewski219480K. Wisniewski331111113
WSep 16 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski331111113K. Wisniewski246990
LAug 15 · 21:25P. Jendrzejewski44711115102K. Wisniewski45114711123
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 21 · 14:35M. Sklensky1.53111111772P. Jendrzejewski2.35139611113LSep 21 · 12:10K. Kapik2.0011119113P. Jendrzejewski1.72771171WSep 21 · 10:55G. Poliniewicz1.80871171P. Jendrzejewski1.8511119113LSep 21 · 09:20M. Rutkowski1.801110811123P. Jendrzejewski1.90612116102WSep 21 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.65129145133K. Wisniewski2.0510111211112LSep 21 · 06:25K. Wloczko1.52111148113P. Jendrzejewski2.3569111152WSep 21 · 05:35M. Rutkowski1.80611661P. Jendrzejewski1.9011711113LSep 21 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.85811981K. Kapik1.8011711113LSep 21 · 03:40P. Jendrzejewski2.35712641M. Sklensky1.52111011113WSep 17 · 14:15D. Solilo2.40641181P. Jendrzejewski1.5011119113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 21 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz1.71111011173K. Wisniewski2.003128151LSep 21 · 11:20M. Rutkowski1.651111113K. Wisniewski2.058360WSep 21 · 10:30K. Kapik1.751191271K. Wisniewski1.9061114113WSep 21 · 09:00M. Sklensky1.40551191K. Wisniewski2.6511113113LSep 21 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.65129145133K. Wisniewski2.0510111211112WSep 21 · 07:15K. Kapik1.719950K. Wisniewski2.001111113LSep 21 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.3611711113K. Wisniewski2.95711681LSep 21 · 04:25M. Sklensky1.351511113K. Wisniewski2.9513480LSep 21 · 03:00M. Rutkowski1.57111272113K. Wisniewski2.25710111162WSep 18 · 13:50M. Sklensky1.37101191192K. Wisniewski2.80124118113
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