TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125798
Played Sep 14Finished
Karol Strowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111161012119711
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarol Strowski above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Krzysztof Wloczko at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Karol Strowski 35–43 Krzysztof Wloczko Karol Strowski has won 35 of their 78 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Wloczko beat Strowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wloczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-43 in 78
Wloczko
Correct
gap of 8 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strowski 1785 vs Wloczko 1873
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strowski 40% vs Wloczko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strowski 50% vs Wloczko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strowski +1 · Wloczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wloczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrowski 1.83 / Wloczko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wloczko)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13125798
Strowski1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Wloczko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrowski4wins
AwayWloczko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWloczko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrowski100%3 of 3
AwayWloczko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strowski3Wloczko7n = 10Wloczko took 7 of 10
S2Strowski4Wloczko6n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S3Strowski5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S4Strowski6Wloczko3n = 9Strowski took 6 of 9
S5Strowski1Wloczko2n = 3Wloczko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrowskiWloczkoS − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.739.9−1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrowskiWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime813 / 1394 vs 945 / 181058.3%52.2%813 / 1394 vs 945 / 1810Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WloczkoStrowski 1.83/Wloczko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wloczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 07:20K. Strowski165830K. Wloczko331111113
LSep 11 · 15:45K. Strowski28671141K. Wloczko4011117113
LSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski4491312101K. Wloczko48111510123
WAug 31 · 13:20K. Strowski4211911113K. Wloczko33611791
WAug 14 · 10:30K. Strowski3911611113K. Wloczko28711641
WAug 10 · 09:20K. Strowski481111411113K. Wloczko4513911662
LJul 20 · 09:00K. Strowski327114101K. Wloczko4211811123
LJul 17 · 14:35K. Strowski43911101122K. Wloczko44113127113
LJul 3 · 09:00K. Strowski551211101482K. Wloczko541451212113
WJun 30 · 19:40K. Strowski4011711113K. Wloczko32711591
K. Strowski10
WSep 14 · 12:30K. Petas1.6111971162K. Strowski2.20511118113LSep 14 · 11:40A. Wiecek1.6191214113K. Strowski2.2011101291LSep 14 · 10:50K. Strowski2.20441151T. Spanik1.6111113113WSep 14 · 09:40K. Strowski2.75761111113M. Jadczyk1.4011117962LSep 14 · 08:30K. Petas1.61911711113K. Strowski2.2011411552LSep 14 · 07:20K. Strowski1.915830K. Wloczko1.801111113WSep 14 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.40811991K. Strowski2.7511811113LSep 14 · 04:55A. Wiecek1.53911116113K. Strowski2.3811691182WSep 14 · 03:25T. Spanik1.6191181182K. Strowski2.20115115113WSep 11 · 21:00K. Strowski1.33116811113J. Mitas3.2571111552
K. Wloczko10
WSep 14 · 13:20T. Spanik1.73681191K. Wloczko2.0011115113LSep 14 · 11:15K. Petas1.5311116123K. Wloczko2.384711101LSep 14 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.539111112113K. Wloczko2.3811561462LSep 14 · 09:00A. Wiecek1.44129811113K. Wloczko2.63101111962WSep 14 · 08:05A. Wiecek1.44710100K. Wloczko2.631112123WSep 14 · 07:20K. Strowski1.915830K. Wloczko1.801111113LSep 14 · 05:15T. Spanik1.6791111113K. Wloczko2.10114821LSep 14 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.441111113K. Wloczko2.639370WSep 14 · 03:00K. Petas1.7391191172K. Wloczko2.00119119113WSep 11 · 15:45K. Strowski1.91671141K. Wloczko1.8011117113
Upcoming Matches
K. Strowski
Sep 15 · 03:25K. Strowski2.00T. Spanik1.73—Sep 15 · 04:55K. Strowski2.00J. Braun1.73—Sep 15 · 06:05K. Strowski3.00M. Olejnik1.36—Sep 15 · 07:20K. Strowski2.20M. Miastowski1.61—Sep 15 · 08:30K. Strowski2.25A. Wiecek1.57—Sep 15 · 09:40K. Strowski2.75M. Jadczyk1.40—Sep 15 · 10:50K. Strowski2.00T. Spanik1.73—Sep 15 · 11:40K. Strowski3.00M. Olejnik1.36—Sep 15 · 12:30K. Strowski2.25A. Wiecek1.57—Sep 15 · 14:10K. Strowski2.00J. Braun1.73—
K. Wloczko
Nothing scheduled
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