TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077783
Played Sep 5Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
2.04
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115119––––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Idaczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1210115119––––
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 4–6 Pawel Slosarczyk Rafal Idaczyk has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:27What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (55%)
Slosarczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Slosarczyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1343 vs Slosarczyk 1206
Idaczyk
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 40% vs Slosarczyk 20%
Idaczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 40% vs Slosarczyk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk -2 · Slosarczyk -3
Slosarczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slosarczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 2.04 / Slosarczyk 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slosarczyk)-1.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13077783
Idaczyk2.04
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 98 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back13% 21 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 106
Slosarczyk1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 97 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it94% 50 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it83% 70 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIdaczyk4wins
AwaySlosarczyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSlosarczyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczyk57.1%4 of 7
AwaySlosarczyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk7Slosarczyk3n = 10Idaczyk took 7 of 10
S2Idaczyk6Slosarczyk4n = 10Idaczyk took 6 of 10
S3Idaczyk6Slosarczyk4n = 10Idaczyk took 6 of 10
S4Idaczyk1Slosarczyk5n = 6Slosarczyk took 5 of 6
S5Idaczyk0Slosarczyk3n = 3Slosarczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIdaczykSlosarczykI − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.635.7+0.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime469 / 953 vs 305 / 80149.2%38.1%469 / 953 vs 305 / 801Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.735.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlosarczykIdaczyk 2.04/Slosarczyk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slosarczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 18 · 05:35R. Idaczyk—1111113P. Slosarczyk—5970
LJun 24 · 11:25R. Idaczyk—11913542P. Slosarczyk—8111111113
LApr 30 · 05:35R. Idaczyk—10850P. Slosarczyk—1211113
LMar 1 · 06:35R. Idaczyk—116661P. Slosarczyk—61111113
LFeb 22 · 04:10R. Idaczyk—971151P. Slosarczyk—11116113
LSep 17 · 06:25R. Idaczyk—61311742P. Slosarczyk—1111911113
WSep 7 · 04:50R. Idaczyk—1111113P. Slosarczyk—8490
WAug 1 · 03:35R. Idaczyk—1112113P. Slosarczyk—21040
LJun 27 · 05:35R. Idaczyk—12111210102P. Slosarczyk—1041412123
WJun 7 · 08:45R. Idaczyk—11139113P. Slosarczyk—7111111
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113WSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113WSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130LSep 6 · 04:00K. Juszczyk1.4011813133R. Idaczyk2.7561111111WSep 5 · 16:20R. Idaczyk2.01121111113R. Piechnik1.69147981WSep 5 · 15:05R. Idaczyk2.37881111113J. Jesiek1.5211117752LSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123LSep 5 · 12:45M. Lach1.301111113R. Idaczyk3.103720LSep 5 · 11:55R. Idaczyk1.85491181P. Slosarczyk1.8211118113
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113WSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 05:10K. Juszczyk1.309580P. Slosarczyk3.101111113LSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111WSep 5 · 17:05M. Lach1.303660P. Slosarczyk3.201111113LSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.8091111622P. Slosarczyk1.91118911113LSep 5 · 13:30J. Jesiek1.60811117113P. Slosarczyk2.1511381172WSep 5 · 11:55R. Idaczyk1.85491181P. Slosarczyk1.8211118113
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