TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12438389
Played Aug 16Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114113––––
Miroslav Kowolowski
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:21 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Miroslav Kowolowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 49 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Daniel Langer at 64.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 4–3 Miroslav Kowolowski Miroslav Kowolowski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:21What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Langer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1588 vs Kowolowski 1489
Langer
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 80% vs Kowolowski 40%
Langer
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 70% vs Kowolowski 30%
Langer
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +1 · Kowolowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.44 / Kowolowski 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Langer)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12438389
Langer1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite76% won 60 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Kowolowski2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog59% won 52 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back34% 14 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLanger4wins
AwayKowolowski3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderLanger leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLangern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKowolowski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer2Kowolowski5n = 7Kowolowski took 5 of 7
S2Langer6Kowolowski1n = 7Langer took 6 of 7
S3Langer5Kowolowski2n = 7Langer took 5 of 7
S4Langer1Kowolowski4n = 5Kowolowski took 4 of 5
S5Langer2Kowolowski1n = 3Langer took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricLangerKowolowskiL − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match38.936.6+2.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerKowolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 91 vs 147 / 26270.3%56.1%64 / 91 vs 147 / 262Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.44/Kowolowski 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 14 · 14:30D. Langer351211123M. Kowolowski23103100
WAug 9 · 20:59D. Langer501011117113M. Kowolowski4412751192
WAug 9 · 20:30D. Langer331111113M. Kowolowski187650
LAug 8 · 21:30D. Langer32971151M. Kowolowski3911116113
LAug 8 · 20:00D. Langer30711751M. Kowolowski3611311113
WJun 26 · 13:30D. Langer518111011113M. Kowolowski4711812792
LJun 26 · 10:30D. Langer4161211392M. Kowolowski491110611113
D. Langer10
WSep 12 · 21:06D. Heczko2.20811761D. Langer1.6111811113LSep 12 · 20:00D. Langer1.57114761D. Machander2.2581111113WSep 12 · 19:30D. Heczko2.389118111D. Langer1.5311611133LSep 12 · 18:00D. Langer1.839880R. Skacelik1.831111113WSep 11 · 21:30D. Langer1.63811117113J. Schwan2.1511861182LSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113WSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162WSep 8 · 17:08D. Langer1.401111113D. Heczko2.758350WSep 8 · 16:30D. Langer1.73711811113D. Heczko2.0011611682
M. Kowolowski10
WSep 14 · 11:30M. Kowolowski1.7311911113I. Taichman2.00411891WSep 14 · 10:30J. Stach1.91411171142M. Kowolowski1.801161513113LAug 21 · 13:00R. Adam1.491111113M. Kowolowski2.458340LAug 21 · 12:00M. Kowolowski2.25681161R. Adam1.5711111113WAug 21 · 11:30M. Blejchar2.25271191M. Kowolowski1.5711114113LAug 21 · 10:00M. Kowolowski1.531111701I. Taichman2.3891311113LAug 16 · 20:58I. Taichman3.0013116123M. Kowolowski1.3611611101LAug 16 · 20:30L. Velicka2.001113113M. Kowolowski1.7381170WAug 16 · 19:30M. Kowolowski1.3611611113I. Taichman3.00611581WAug 15 · 21:00V. Adamczyk1.40111211332M. Kowolowski2.75514311113
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