TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
Luka Mladenovic vs Alvaro Robles 1-3 · WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
Played Aug 8Finished
Luka Mladenovic
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
––––––––––
Alvaro Robles
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeAlvaro Robles to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:56What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Robles
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Mladenovic 40% vs Robles 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mladenovic 50% vs Robles 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mladenovic -2 · Robles -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Robles)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Robles form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMladenovic 2.63 / Robles 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Robles)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12379612
Mladenovic2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Robles1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMladenovicRoblesBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 5 / 1050%50%5 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoblesMladenovic 2.63/Robles 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Robles · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Robles won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Mladenovic10
LJun 26 · 18:45L. Mladenovic1.53186861J. Oyebode2.38161111113LJun 16 · 10:20R. Walther1.36131211113L. Mladenovic3.001510861WJun 2 · 16:45L. Mladenovic1.081111113A. Naranjo5.905930LJun 2 · 09:00L. Mladenovic1.229990D. Lillo4.001111113WJun 1 · 10:45L. Mladenovic1.0561111113T. Sanchi8.50116671LMay 23 · 17:25L. Mladenovic2.7511460Y. Feng1.401311113WMay 23 · 11:55L. Mladenovic2.25111111113E. Dorr1.57513641WMay 22 · 10:20L. Mladenovic—811119113N. Artemenko—11871162WMay 22 · 08:00L. Mladenovic2.25811119113N. Artemenko1.5711871162LApr 30 · 18:15D. Levajac1.751141120113L. Mladenovic1.9051182282
A. Robles10
LSep 18 · 14:00A. Robles7.0065100D. Qiu1.081111123WSep 17 · 07:10Y. MA4.331161071A. Robles1.2041112113LSep 11 · 10:00A. Robles2.636510K. Karlsson1.441111113WSep 10 · 15:50A. Robles1.401110611113F. Meng2.7581211792LSep 5 · 06:45S. Togami1.14111014113A. Robles5.003121291WSep 4 · 06:10V. Picard2.50981171A. Robles1.5011116113WSep 3 · 05:00A. Naranjo6.5081111632A. Robles1.10118911113LAug 10 · 17:45A. Robles1.7161291142T. Pucar2.001110118113LAug 10 · 15:45A. Robles2.0061291142T. Pucar1.731110118113WAug 9 · 19:40C. Kao1.50111071192A. Robles2.40712117113
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