TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12283706
Played Jul 23Finished
Deni Kozul
Home
1.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115113114––––
Nandan Naresh
Away
8.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:47 and never touched — 89.0% is still 89.0%
Graded at full timeDeni Kozul to win
89.0%
89.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDeni Kozul above · Nandan Naresh below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 10-3
Point 43 set 3, 10-3 — our read held Deni Kozul at 89.0%
43 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Deni Kozul 1–0 Nandan Naresh Nandan Naresh has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:47What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.05 (89%)
Kozul
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Kozul 40% vs Naresh 20%
Kozul
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozul 50% vs Naresh 20%
Kozul
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozul -1 · Naresh -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Kozul)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kozul form (40%) is below what odds imply (95%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozul 1.05 / Naresh 8.50
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Kozul)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12283706
Kozul1.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Naresh8.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKozul1wins
AwayNaresh0wins
Kozul leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKozulNareshK − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.012.0+21.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozulNareshBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 2 / 1050%20%5 / 10 vs 2 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.20.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozulKozul 1.05/Naresh 8.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89%
Kozul · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kozul won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 23 · 07:00D. Kozul—1111113N. Naresh—5340
D. Kozul10
LAug 28 · 16:15D. Kozul2.63114561A. Bhattacharjee1.4491111113WAug 28 · 09:45D. Dorcescu4.00913751D. Kozul1.22111111113WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2261111123M. Andersen3.751169101WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2061111113M. Buch4.331169101WAug 27 · 10:20D. Kozul1.3611128113Y. Yu3.005101151WAug 26 · 17:25D. Kozul1.351111123R. Heras2.9058100LAug 11 · 12:20D. Kozul4.33931181D. Jorgic1.2011115113WAug 9 · 20:50D. Kozul5.551111113G. Park1.107960WAug 9 · 17:55D. Kozul6.001111103G. Park1.117960WAug 9 · 12:05D. Kozul1.30111011113A. Levenko3.40912891
N. Naresh10
LAug 22 · 11:55N. Naresh6.50113971M. Badowski1.1081111113WAug 21 · 10:55C. Cozmolici4.003540N. Naresh1.221111113LJul 23 · 21:10D. Kozul1.051111113N. Naresh9.755340LJun 28 · 20:45N. Naresh10.50681141Y. Chen1.0211118113LMay 4 · 17:00N. Naresh8.503440S. Gauzy1.051111113WMay 1 · 10:10E. Andre—6560N. Naresh—1111113LApr 30 · 10:20N. Naresh1.530J. Chua2.383LApr 30 · 09:20N. Naresh1.708390I. Quek2.051111113LApr 15 · 16:50N. Naresh3.7510880D. Kozul1.251211113WApr 15 · 10:20N. Naresh1.30111314113M. Andersen3.405151271
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