TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin
WTT Feeder BerlinMatch #12471565
Played Aug 22Finished
Nandan Naresh
Home
6.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118311911711––
Marek Badowski
Away
1.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:30 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeMarek Badowski to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNandan Naresh above · Marek Badowski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Marek Badowski at 58.6%
71 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:30What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Badowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Naresh 20% vs Badowski 40%
Badowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Naresh 30% vs Badowski 50%
Badowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Naresh +1 · Badowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Badowski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNaresh 6.50 / Badowski 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Badowski)-0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin · #12471565
Naresh6.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
Badowski1.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNareshBadowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 5 / 1030%50%3 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.02.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadowskiNaresh 6.50/Badowski 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Badowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Badowski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
N. Naresh10
WAug 21 · 10:55C. Cozmolici4.003540N. Naresh1.221111113LJul 23 · 21:10D. Kozul1.051111113N. Naresh9.755340LJul 23 · 07:00D. Kozul1.051111113N. Naresh8.505340LJun 28 · 20:45N. Naresh10.50681141Y. Chen1.0211118113LMay 4 · 17:00N. Naresh8.503440S. Gauzy1.051111113WMay 1 · 10:10E. Andre—6560N. Naresh—1111113LApr 30 · 10:20N. Naresh1.530J. Chua2.383LApr 30 · 09:20N. Naresh1.708390I. Quek2.051111113LApr 15 · 16:50N. Naresh3.7510880D. Kozul1.251211113WApr 15 · 10:20N. Naresh1.30111314113M. Andersen3.405151271
M. Badowski10
LAug 23 · 09:10H. Kwon1.85137118133M. Badowski1.851111811112WAug 22 · 16:50C. Nuytinck2.006570M. Badowski1.731111113WAug 21 · 10:55B. Botha8.505850M. Badowski1.051111113LAug 9 · 15:35C. Kao1.26111159113M. Badowski3.5078111112LAug 9 · 10:20C. Kao1.28111159113M. Badowski3.5078111112WAug 8 · 13:35N. Alamiyan1.8311116772M. Badowski1.83781111113LJun 10 · 17:00M. Badowski2.3811914101K. Hamada1.5371116123WJun 10 · 11:30P. Gionis1.576330M. Badowski2.251111113WJun 9 · 15:20M. Badowski1.83711613163I. Quek1.831151111142LMay 16 · 10:53P. Franziska1.131111113M. Badowski5.508570
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