TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12379613
Played Aug 8Finished
Noshad Alamiyan
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117118611711711
Marek Badowski
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeNoshad Alamiyan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingNoshad Alamiyan above · Marek Badowski below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-10
Point 89 set 5, 7-10 — our read held Noshad Alamiyan at 54.0%
89 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:57What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Badowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Alamiyan 80% vs Badowski 40%
Alamiyan
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Alamiyan 80% vs Badowski 50%
Alamiyan
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Alamiyan -1 · Badowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Alamiyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlamiyan 1.83 / Badowski 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Alamiyan)+4.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12379613
Alamiyan1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Badowski1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlamiyanBadowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 5 / 1080%50%8 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.61.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlamiyanAlamiyan 1.83/Badowski 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Alamiyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Badowski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
N. Alamiyan10
LJan 20 · 07:55N. Alamiyan2.2514911972H. Xu1.571211511113WJan 19 · 14:20N. Alamiyan—51113113H. Li—1161171WJan 19 · 07:50N. Alamiyan1.058111111113K. Alshareif8.5011113382WAug 31 · 16:25H. Desai1.8091181182N. Alamiyan1.91116119113WAug 31 · 09:10N. Alamiyan1.915111110123V. Ursu1.80118712102WAug 30 · 18:20N. Alamiyan1.611112113J. Seyfried2.2091050WAug 30 · 10:50N. Alamiyan1.831111113B. Faraji1.838690WAug 29 · 11:15N. Alamiyan1.5311511113H. Kobayashi2.38911941LAug 17 · 11:15N. Alamiyan3.403570S. Togami1.301111113WAug 16 · 17:05F. Bourrassaud1.8311119992N. Alamiyan1.83461111113
M. Badowski10
LAug 23 · 09:10H. Kwon1.85137118133M. Badowski1.851111811112WAug 22 · 16:50C. Nuytinck2.006570M. Badowski1.731111113WAug 22 · 11:55N. Naresh6.50113971M. Badowski1.1081111113WAug 21 · 10:55B. Botha8.505850M. Badowski1.051111113LAug 9 · 15:35C. Kao1.26111159113M. Badowski3.5078111112LAug 9 · 10:20C. Kao1.28111159113M. Badowski3.5078111112LJun 10 · 17:00M. Badowski2.3811914101K. Hamada1.5371116123WJun 10 · 11:30P. Gionis1.576330M. Badowski2.251111113WJun 9 · 15:20M. Badowski1.83711613163I. Quek1.831151111142LMay 16 · 10:53P. Franziska1.131111113M. Badowski5.508570
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