TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anton Molochko vs Andrii Grebeniuk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Jun 4Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151137111210––
Andrii Grebeniuk
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Andrii Grebeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 70 set 4, 12-10
70 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 15–72 Andrii Grebeniuk Anton Molochko has won 15 of their 87 meetings.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Grebeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 3.50 / Grebeniuk 1.28
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Grebeniuk)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #11985490
Molochko3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 69 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back29% 29 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 59
Grebeniuk1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 33 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko2wins
AwayGrebeniuk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGrebeniuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochko28.6%2 of 7
AwayGrebeniuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko7Grebeniuk3n = 10Molochko took 7 of 10
S2Molochko3Grebeniuk7n = 10Grebeniuk took 7 of 10
S3Molochko3Grebeniuk7n = 10Grebeniuk took 7 of 10
S4Molochko2Grebeniuk7n = 9Grebeniuk took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoGrebeniukM − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.540.8−4.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoGrebeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1307 vs 365 / 45957.6%79.5%753 / 1307 vs 365 / 459Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrebeniukMolochko 3.50/Grebeniuk 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81.9%
Grebeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 29 · 06:20A. Molochko—1A. Grebeniuk—3
LMay 28 · 16:20A. Molochko—1A. Grebeniuk—3
WJan 9 · 13:50A. Molochko—3A. Grebeniuk—1
LNov 14 · 12:20A. Molochko—1A. Grebeniuk—3
LNov 11 · 10:35A. Molochko—1A. Grebeniuk—3
LNov 10 · 13:35A. Molochko—2A. Grebeniuk—3
LNov 9 · 21:30A. Molochko—2A. Grebeniuk—3
WOct 29 · 09:05A. Molochko—3A. Grebeniuk—1
LOct 28 · 13:05A. Molochko—0A. Grebeniuk—3
LOct 27 · 21:00A. Molochko—1A. Grebeniuk—3
A. Molochko10
WSep 22 · 13:05A. Molochko1.83611811113D. Zeniuk1.8311911492LSep 22 · 01:38D. Zeniuk1.80611911123A. Molochko1.91118119102WSep 22 · 24:30A. Molochko1.91113119113N. Danyliuk1.8081171152LSep 21 · 23:30A. Molochko1.57116981V. Verbyany2.2591111113WSep 21 · 22:00A. Molochko1.361112113B. Kohut3.0091080LSep 21 · 21:00A. Molochko2.201011811112D. Zeniuk1.61129117133LSep 15 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.6711114113A. Molochko2.10251171LSep 15 · 06:55V. Verbyany2.2511711123A. Molochko1.578117101LSep 15 · 05:25B. Kohut2.501112113A. Molochko1.5031070LSep 15 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.7331111113A. Molochko2.00118961
A. Grebeniuk10
LJun 19 · 18:55B. Kohut4.50111266123A. Grebeniuk1.172101111102WJun 19 · 17:25A. Grebeniuk1.2561111113V. Hryban3.75113991WJun 19 · 15:25A. Molochko3.75116411112A. Grebeniuk1.25711118133WJun 19 · 13:25N. Danyliuk3.00911571A. Grebeniuk1.3611811113WJun 19 · 12:25V. Verbyany5.50911621A. Grebeniuk1.1311811113LJun 19 · 02:45N. Danyliuk2.7511115113A. Grebeniuk1.40491161LJun 19 · 01:45V. Hryban3.7511118113A. Grebeniuk1.25481181WJun 19 · 24:15V. Verbyany6.0011291122A. Grebeniuk1.11511118113LJun 18 · 22:15A. Molochko3.75119811113A. Grebeniuk1.2541111492LJun 18 · 20:15B. Kohut5.001111113A. Grebeniuk1.148360
Upcoming Matches
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A. Grebeniuk
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