TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11966622
Played May 31Finished
Jiri Motak
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511119114115––
Petr Romba
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJiri Motak above · Petr Romba below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 67 set 4, 11-5
67 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Motak 8–2 Petr Romba Petr Romba has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Motak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romba form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMotak 1.44 / Romba 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Motak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11966622
Motak1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 12 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Romba2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 7 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMotak8wins
AwayRomba2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMotak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMotak77.8%7 of 9
AwayRomban = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Motak9Romba1n = 10Motak took 9 of 10
S2Motak6Romba4n = 10Motak took 6 of 10
S3Motak7Romba3n = 10Motak took 7 of 10
S4Motak3Romba3n = 6split evenly
S5Motak2Romba1n = 3Motak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMotakRombaM − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.133.3+5.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMotakRombaBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 272 vs 26 / 6042.7%43.3%116 / 272 vs 26 / 60Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MotakMotak 1.44/Romba 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Motak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Motak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 12 · 12:00J. Motak—3P. Romba—1
WApr 14 · 12:30J. Motak—3P. Romba—0
WMar 29 · 21:00J. Motak—3P. Romba—2
WMar 29 · 18:30J. Motak—3P. Romba—2
WMar 20 · 11:30J. Motak—3P. Romba—0
LMar 10 · 15:00J. Motak—1P. Romba—3
WNov 16 · 21:00J. Motak—3P. Romba—0
LOct 28 · 17:00J. Motak—2P. Romba—3
WOct 24 · 13:00J. Motak—3P. Romba—0
WOct 24 · 11:30J. Motak—3P. Romba—1
J. Motak10
LSep 1 · 12:58L. Martinec1.44511711113J. Motak2.6311711592LSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec1.2812131113113J. Motak3.50141541192WSep 1 · 11:00J. Foltynek2.10105121192J. Motak1.671211108113LSep 1 · 10:30J. Motak2.257970V. Matysek1.571111113LJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec1.2811511123J. Motak3.506116101LJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.756540LJul 20 · 11:30J. Motak1.61139114102J. Foltynek2.201111511123LJul 20 · 10:30M. Derco1.671111113J. Motak2.103520LJun 30 · 13:00L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.758660LJun 30 · 12:30J. Motak1.8091280L. Martinec1.911114113
P. Romba10
LMay 31 · 17:00J. Motak1.361311113P. Romba3.0011590LMay 31 · 16:30P. Romba1.61915100J. Foltynek2.201117123LMay 31 · 15:00P. Romba2.259580M. Proksa1.571111113LMay 12 · 13:28P. Romba1.449101191J. Foltynek2.6311128113LMay 12 · 12:00J. Motak1.5011115113P. Romba2.50951191WMay 12 · 11:00L. Martinec1.6751141322P. Romba2.101181111113WMay 12 · 10:30P. Romba1.5311117113J. Foltynek2.38641191WApr 20 · 17:00V. Matysek1.859101161P. Romba1.8511128113LApr 20 · 16:00P. Romba1.40511931L. Martinec2.7511711113LApr 20 · 15:30A. Jancak1.831113113P. Romba1.8381180
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