TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11769168
Played Apr 20Finished
Petr Romba
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117911311––
Lukas Martinec
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPetr Romba above · Lukas Martinec below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 68 set 4, 3-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Petr Romba 1–0 Lukas Martinec Lukas Martinec has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Romba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romba form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomba 1.40 / Martinec 2.75
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Romba)-12.3pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #11769168
The market does not separate these two
1.40 against 2.75 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Romba1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Martinec2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRomba1wins
AwayMartinec0wins
Romba leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRombaMartinecR − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRombaMartinecBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 56 vs 8 / 2842.9%28.6%24 / 56 vs 8 / 28Avg sets wonper match1.81.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.732.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RombaRomba 1.40/Martinec 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Romba · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Martinec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—P. Romba—3L. Martinec—0
P. Romba10
LMay 31 · 17:00J. Motak1.361311113P. Romba3.0011590LMay 31 · 16:30P. Romba1.61915100J. Foltynek2.201117123LMay 31 · 15:00P. Romba2.259580M. Proksa1.571111113LMay 31 · 14:00J. Motak1.4451111113P. Romba2.63119451LMay 12 · 13:28P. Romba1.449101191J. Foltynek2.6311128113LMay 12 · 12:00J. Motak1.5011115113P. Romba2.50951191WMay 12 · 11:00L. Martinec1.6751141322P. Romba2.101181111113WMay 12 · 10:30P. Romba1.5311117113J. Foltynek2.38641191WApr 20 · 17:00V. Matysek1.859101161P. Romba1.8511128113LApr 20 · 15:30A. Jancak1.831113113P. Romba1.8381180
L. Martinec10
WSep 1 · 12:58L. Martinec1.44511711113J. Motak2.6311711592WSep 1 · 12:00L. Martinec1.2812131113113J. Motak3.50141541192LSep 1 · 11:30V. Matysek2.101111123L. Martinec1.6728100LSep 1 · 10:00L. Martinec2.2011861172J. Foltynek1.61511118113WJul 20 · 12:58L. Martinec1.2811511123J. Motak3.506116101WJul 20 · 12:30L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.756540LJul 20 · 11:00L. Martinec2.75126612122M. Derco1.4010111110143LJul 20 · 10:00J. Foltynek1.53118411113L. Martinec2.3871111562WJun 30 · 13:00L. Martinec1.401111113J. Motak2.758660LMay 12 · 11:00L. Martinec1.6751141322P. Romba2.101181111113
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