TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Karol Strowski vs Simon Belik 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played May 19Finished
Karol Strowski
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181412119––
Simon Belik
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingKarol Strowski above · Simon Belik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 85 set 4, 11-9
85 points played in total.
H2H Karol Strowski 7–4 Simon Belik Simon Belik has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Strowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belik form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrowski 1.33 / Belik 3.25
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Strowski)+8.0pp
TT Elite Series · #11912789
Strowski1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 341 of 517
Up 2–0, closes it96% 131 of 136
Up 1–0, closes it87% 238 of 275
Belik3.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog13% won 13 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back6% 4 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrowski6wins
AwayBelik4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStrowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrowski50%3 of 6
AwayBelik25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strowski6Belik4n = 10Strowski took 6 of 10
S2Strowski4Belik6n = 10Belik took 6 of 10
S3Strowski7Belik3n = 10Strowski took 7 of 10
S4Strowski6Belik3n = 9Strowski took 6 of 9
S5Strowski1Belik2n = 3Belik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrowskiBelikS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.137.1+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrowskiBelikBasisWin rate · lifetime1202 / 1955 vs 102 / 39361.5%26%1202 / 1955 vs 102 / 393Avg sets wonper match2.21.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.332.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrowskiStrowski 1.33/Belik 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.9%
Strowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 4 · 12:20K. Strowski—3S. Belik—1
WApr 27 · 17:25K. Strowski—3S. Belik—1
LApr 27 · 13:35K. Strowski—1S. Belik—3
WJan 16 · 20:45K. Strowski—3S. Belik—1
LDec 2 · 14:10K. Strowski—2S. Belik—3
LAug 15 · 19:45K. Strowski—1S. Belik—3
LAug 15 · 14:45K. Strowski—2S. Belik—3
WAug 1 · 17:25K. Strowski—3S. Belik—2
WAug 1 · 12:20K. Strowski—3S. Belik—0
WJul 22 · 10:20K. Strowski—3S. Belik—1
K. Strowski10
WSep 22 · 12:35P. Klos1.8510850K. Strowski1.851211113WSep 22 · 11:45P. Jendrzejewski2.705660K. Strowski1.411111113LSep 22 · 10:55K. Strowski1.55511141D. Prokopcov2.2511114113LSep 22 · 09:45K. Strowski1.957860M. Murawski1.761111113WSep 22 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski2.7011811762K. Strowski1.37811911113LSep 22 · 07:15P. Klos1.85111198113K. Strowski1.8599111172WSep 22 · 05:15K. Wisniewski3.307101171K. Strowski1.2111126113WSep 22 · 04:25D. Prokopcov2.41761181K. Strowski1.4411114113WSep 22 · 03:00K. Wloczko2.00129881K. Strowski1.71101111113WSep 15 · 14:10K. Strowski2.2011911113J. Braun1.61611961
S. Belik10
LAug 29 · 17:30S. Belik—611771A. Khanin—11511113LAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 17:20P. Zatowka—11118123S. Belik—7911101LMay 20 · 14:00D. Kostal1.44111110113S. Belik2.63841281WMay 20 · 13:10M. Olbrycht1.5341113111S. Belik2.3811815133LMay 20 · 12:20S. Belik2.75713100A. Daniel1.401115123WMay 20 · 10:40S. Belik3.2531111113M. Nowalinski1.33114871LMay 20 · 09:55S. Sporek1.3611114113S. Belik3.00771151LMay 20 · 08:45D. Kostal1.571111113S. Belik2.257590LMay 20 · 07:35S. Belik3.2531070K. Wloczko1.331112113
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