TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11778943
Played Apr 21Finished
Jakub Caban
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
31111131311311––
Mateusz Ksel
Away
1.66
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
31111131311311––
H2H Jakub Caban 1–2 Mateusz Ksel Jakub Caban has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Caban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ksel form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCaban 2.05 / Ksel 1.66
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Caban)+10.1pp
TT Cup · #11778943
Caban2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Ksel1.66
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCaban1wins
AwayKsel2wins
Ksel leads 2–1.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Caban2Ksel1n = 3Caban took 2 of 3
S2Caban1Ksel2n = 3Ksel took 2 of 3
S3Caban1Ksel2n = 3Ksel took 2 of 3
S4Caban2Ksel1n = 3Caban took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCabanKselC − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.339.7+2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabanKselBasisWin rate · lifetime371 / 710 vs 49 / 8152.3%60.5%371 / 710 vs 49 / 81Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabanCaban 2.05/Ksel 1.66
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.8%
Caban · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ksel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
L—J. Caban—2M. Ksel—3
L—J. Caban—3M. Ksel—1
W—J. Caban—1M. Ksel—3
J. Caban10
WAug 14 · 22:10J. Caban—1111143P. Kedzierski—79120WAug 14 · 21:00P. Kedzierski2.401171151J. Caban1.5113117113LAug 14 · 19:30J. Caban1.471171112172W. Arkadiusz2.39511914193WAug 14 · 17:30F. Baranski2.2211101081J. Caban1.5491212113WAug 14 · 15:00P. Kamil1.62661181J. Caban2.1511119113LAug 14 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.097111212133J. Caban1.611191014112WJul 13 · 21:40J. Caban—1510117113J. Komorowicz—131281192LJul 13 · 20:30J. Caban—57111652P. Kamil—1111514113LJul 13 · 18:30K. Patryk1.739111011113J. Caban1.9811912972WJul 13 · 17:30J. Caban1.63141198113J. Komorowicz2.06124111172
M. Ksel10
LApr 21 · 22:50P. Domagala—12116113M. Ksel—1091181LApr 21 · 20:30M. Ksel1.325940K. Stojek3.001111113WApr 21 · 18:30W. Arkadiusz1.9710790M. Ksel1.721211113WApr 21 · 17:30M. Ksel—111412113J. Komorowicz—4121471LApr 21 · 16:00M. Ksel1.55911111072P. Domagala2.26119712113LFeb 11 · 23:10K. Stojek1.3541416113M. Ksel2.9011121461WFeb 11 · 22:00M. Ksel—1211133A. Dietrich—108110LFeb 11 · 20:00K. Stojek2.47119611113M. Ksel1.4661111872LFeb 11 · 18:00W. Arkadiusz2.10111318113M. Ksel1.65911111152WFeb 11 · 17:00B. Matachowski1.7591160M. Ksel1.951113113
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