TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11778944
Played Apr 21Finished
Mateusz Ksel
Home
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111191171012711
Pawel Domagala
Away
2.26
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
9111191171012711
H2H Mateusz Ksel 2–1 Pawel Domagala Pawel Domagala has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ksel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Domagala form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKsel 1.55 / Domagala 2.26
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ksel)-5.3pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #11778944
The market does not separate these two
1.55 against 2.26 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Ksel1.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Domagala2.26
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKsel2wins
AwayDomagala1wins
Ksel leads 2–1.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ksel2Domagala1n = 3Ksel took 2 of 3
S2Ksel2Domagala1n = 3Ksel took 2 of 3
S3Ksel2Domagala1n = 3Ksel took 2 of 3
S4Ksel2Domagala1n = 3Ksel took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKselDomagalaK − DBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match44.738.7+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKselDomagalaBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 81 vs 507 / 105760.5%48%49 / 81 vs 507 / 1057Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KselKsel 1.55/Domagala 2.26
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ksel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Domagala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
W—M. Ksel—1P. Domagala—3
W—M. Ksel—1P. Domagala—3
L—M. Ksel—3P. Domagala—2
M. Ksel10
LApr 21 · 22:50P. Domagala—12116113M. Ksel—1091181LApr 21 · 20:30M. Ksel1.325940K. Stojek3.001111113WApr 21 · 18:30W. Arkadiusz1.9710790M. Ksel1.721211113WApr 21 · 17:30M. Ksel—111412113J. Komorowicz—4121471WApr 21 · 16:30J. Caban2.053111331M. Ksel1.66111311113LFeb 11 · 23:10K. Stojek1.3541416113M. Ksel2.9011121461WFeb 11 · 22:00M. Ksel—1211133A. Dietrich—108110LFeb 11 · 20:00K. Stojek2.47119611113M. Ksel1.4661111872LFeb 11 · 18:00W. Arkadiusz2.10111318113M. Ksel1.65911111152WFeb 11 · 17:00B. Matachowski1.7591160M. Ksel1.951113113
P. Domagala10
WJun 8 · 22:40P. Domagala—11511113K. Kos—911681WJun 8 · 21:00P. Domagala1.3912912113K. Patryk2.6010111081WJun 8 · 19:00K. Kos1.7081111982P. Domagala1.95118811113WJun 8 · 17:00K. Stojek2.27451151P. Domagala1.5211114113LJun 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.9671111113P. Domagala1.69116791WJun 8 · 15:30P. Domagala1.709111011113J. Komorowicz1.9611812482LJun 6 · 14:35K. Kos1.801111113P. Domagala1.846950LJun 6 · 12:35K. Kos1.83111110113P. Domagala1.81771291WJun 6 · 11:35S. Toborek—11911392P. Domagala—411511113WApr 21 · 22:50P. Domagala—12116113M. Ksel—1091181
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