Anton Molochko vs Andrii Zeniuk · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts Oct 13, 04:35Scheduled

Anton Molochko

Home

1.22

At publish

Won last 1

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Head to head

13 – 10

All 23 meetings · 56.5%

Last 10 · 5–5

Andrii Zeniuk

Away

4.00

At publish

Won last 1

2–8Last 10Won last 1

Compare players

Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMolochko 1.222 / Zeniuk 4.00

Same-day rematch · 15h before this match

Molochko beat Zeniuk 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMolochko5wins

AwayZeniuk5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMolochko80%4 of 5

AwayZeniuk80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Molochko5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly

S2Molochko7Zeniuk3n = 10Molochko took 7 of 10

S3Molochko4Zeniuk6n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10

S4Molochko3Zeniuk5n = 8Zeniuk took 5 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMolochkoZeniukM − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.836.0−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMolochkoZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime520 / 907 vs 249 / 47257.3%52.8%520 / 907 vs 249 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.3per match

Setka Cup · #13286439

Molochko1.22

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite61% won 138 of 227

Up 2–0, closes it97% 67 of 69

Up 1–0, closes it85% 102 of 120

Zeniuk4.00

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog33% won 47 of 144

Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 90

Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47

Anton Molochko vs Andrii Zeniuk · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Anton Molochko vs Andrii Zeniuk · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary