Frantisek Balcar vs Milan Dvorak 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 5 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Frantisek Balcar

Home

2.10

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

15178111191311211

Milan Dvorak

Away

1.65

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:15 and never touched: 56.7% is still 56.7%

Graded at full time

Milan Dvorak to win

56.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

108 points played in total.

Set by set

15178111191311211

H2H Frantisek Balcar 3–1 Milan Dvorak Milan Dvorak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 3–1Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Dvorak

Balcar 2.10/Dvorak 1.65

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

56.7%

Dvorak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Dvorak won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:15

56.7%Our read60.6%to break even at 1.65

short by 3.9pp

60.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.65 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.65 (56%)

Dvorak

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

3-1 in 4

Balcar

Wrong

gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Balcar 1486 vs Dvorak 1525

Dvorak

Correct

both rated, 39 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Balcar 60% vs Dvorak 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Balcar 40% vs Dvorak 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Balcar -2 · Dvorak -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Dvorak) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Balcar: form 60%, the price implies 48%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBalcar 2.10 / Dvorak 1.65

Signal prob.43% / 57%

Edge (Dvorak)-3.9pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeBalcar3wins

AwayDvorak1wins

Balcar leads 3–1.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBalcar100%3 of 3

AwayDvorakn = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Balcar3Dvorak1n = 4Balcar took 3 of 4

S2Balcar3Dvorak1n = 4Balcar took 3 of 4

S3Balcar1Dvorak3n = 4Dvorak took 3 of 4

S4Balcar3Dvorak1n = 4Balcar took 3 of 4

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home375%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away125%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricBalcarDvorakB − DBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.537.2+3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBalcarDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 249 vs 163 / 33849%48.2%122 / 249 vs 163 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.8per match

TT Cup · #13285219

Balcar2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog49% won 39 of 80

Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43

Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25

Dvorak1.65

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite42% won 25 of 59

Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11

Up 1–0, closes it57% 16 of 28

Frantisek Balcar vs Milan Dvorak 2-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Frantisek Balcar vs Milan Dvorak 2-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.