Grzegorz Poliniewicz vs Jakub Zochniak 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC 2 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Grzegorz Poliniewicz

Home

1.42

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

611112119117––

Jakub Zochniak

Away

2.60

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:34 and never touched: 72.1% is still 72.1%

Graded at full time

Grzegorz Poliniewicz to win

72.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

68 points played in total.

Set by set

611112119117––

H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 106–23 Jakub Zochniak Jakub Zochniak has won 23 of their 129 meetings.

Last 10 · 10–0Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Poliniewicz

Poliniewicz 1.42/Zochniak 2.60

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

72.1%

Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Poliniewicz won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 12:34

72.1%Our read70.4%to break even at 1.42

clears by 1.7pp

70.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.42 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.42 (65%)

Poliniewicz

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

106-23 in 129

Poliniewicz

Correct

gap of 83 in 129, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Poliniewicz 1670 vs Zochniak 1635

Poliniewicz

Correct

both rated, 34 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Poliniewicz 0% vs Zochniak 80%

Zochniak

Wrong

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Poliniewicz 30% vs Zochniak 70%

Zochniak

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Poliniewicz -5 · Zochniak -1

Poliniewicz

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 72% · Strong (leans Poliniewicz) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Zochniak: form 80%, the price implies 38%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.42 / Zochniak 2.60

Signal prob.72% / 28%

Edge (Poliniewicz)+1.7pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePoliniewicz10wins

AwayZochniak0wins

1 of 10 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePoliniewicz100%6 of 6

AwayZochniak0%0 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Poliniewicz6Zochniak4n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10

S2Poliniewicz8Zochniak2n = 10Poliniewicz took 8 of 10

S3Poliniewicz9Zochniak1n = 10Poliniewicz took 9 of 10

S4Poliniewicz6Zochniak1n = 7Poliniewicz took 6 of 7

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home660%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricPoliniewiczZochniakP − ZBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.728.1+11.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPoliniewiczZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime1198 / 2089 vs 1148 / 219657.4%52.3%1198 / 2089 vs 1148 / 2196Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.3per match

TT Elite Series · #13284649

Poliniewicz1.42

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite70% won 299 of 430

Up 2–0, closes it94% 136 of 145

Up 1–0, closes it82% 224 of 274

Zochniak2.60

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog35% won 135 of 390

Down 0–1, comes back14% 32 of 225

Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 115

Grzegorz Poliniewicz vs Jakub Zochniak 3-1 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Grzegorz Poliniewicz vs Jakub Zochniak 3-1 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.