Grzegorz Poliniewicz vs Karol Wisniewski 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC 2 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Grzegorz Poliniewicz

Home

1.75

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

116411114811811

Karol Wisniewski

Away

1.95

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Grzegorz Poliniewicz to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

85 points played in total.

Set by set

116411114811811

H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 105–127 Karol Wisniewski Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 105 of their 232 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Poliniewicz

Poliniewicz 1.75/Wisniewski 1.95

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Wisniewski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 03:57

54.0%Our read57.1%to break even at 1.75

short by 3.1pp

57.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.75 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.75 (53%)

Poliniewicz

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

105-127 in 232

Wisniewski

Correct

gap of 22 in 232, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Poliniewicz 1739 vs Wisniewski 1614

Poliniewicz

Wrong

both rated, 126 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Poliniewicz 80% vs Wisniewski 20%

Poliniewicz

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Poliniewicz 60% vs Wisniewski 20%

Poliniewicz

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Poliniewicz +1 · Wisniewski -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Poliniewicz) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Wisniewski: form 20%, the price implies 51%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.75 / Wisniewski 1.95

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Poliniewicz)-3.1pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePoliniewicz6wins

AwayWisniewski4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePoliniewicz75%3 of 4

AwayWisniewski50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Poliniewicz4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10

S2Poliniewicz6Wisniewski4n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10

S3Poliniewicz6Wisniewski4n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10

S4Poliniewicz6Wisniewski2n = 8Poliniewicz took 6 of 8

S5Poliniewicz2Wisniewski2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricPoliniewiczWisniewskiP − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.638.9+3.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPoliniewiczWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1197 / 2082 vs 951 / 213257.5%44.6%1197 / 2082 vs 951 / 2132Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.3per match

TT Elite Series · #13282966

Poliniewicz1.75

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite70% won 299 of 430

Up 2–0, closes it94% 136 of 145

Up 1–0, closes it82% 224 of 274

Wisniewski1.95

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

33%takes the first set · 3 of 9

As underdog38% won 196 of 512

Down 0–1, comes back19% 63 of 324

Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 194

Grzegorz Poliniewicz vs Karol Wisniewski 2-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Grzegorz Poliniewicz vs Karol Wisniewski 2-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.