TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Stecyszyn vs Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111171210118––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
5111171210118––
H2H Jakub Stecyszyn 4–0 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Stecyszyn beat Poliniewicz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStecyszyn 1.37 / Poliniewicz 2.80
TT Elite Series · #13264843
Stecyszyn1.37
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite93% won 13 of 14
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Poliniewicz2.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 128 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back17% 35 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStecyszyn4wins
AwayPoliniewicz0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderStecyszyn leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStecyszyn100%4 of 4
AwayPoliniewiczn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stecyszyn4Poliniewicz0n = 4Stecyszyn took 4 of 4
S2Stecyszyn3Poliniewicz1n = 4Stecyszyn took 3 of 4
S3Stecyszyn2Poliniewicz2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStecyszynPoliniewiczS − PBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match40.227.2+13.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStecyszynPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 39 vs 1212 / 210169.2%57.7%27 / 39 vs 1212 / 2101Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StecyszynStecyszyn 1.37/Poliniewicz 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Stecyszyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WOct 8 · 07:15J. Stecyszyn331111113G. Poliniewicz239860
WOct 7 · 09:00J. Stecyszyn331111113G. Poliniewicz164570
WSep 19 · 13:20J. Stecyszyn501110711113G. Poliniewicz4181211552
WSep 19 · 05:15J. Stecyszyn45111112113G. Poliniewicz29661431
J. Stecyszyn10
LOct 8 · 12:35J. Stecyszyn1.5791111652K. Kapik2.27118511113LOct 8 · 11:20J. Stecyszyn1.4211981172M. Rutkowski2.66811116113LOct 8 · 10:05J. Mitas2.8311311113J. Stecyszyn1.38911971WOct 8 · 09:20J. Stecyszyn1.5171111113P. Jendrzejewski2.41115571WOct 8 · 08:05J. Mitas2.558880J. Stecyszyn1.461111113WOct 8 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz2.759860J. Stecyszyn1.401111113WOct 8 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.9013101161J. Stecyszyn1.8015129113WOct 8 · 04:25P. Jendrzejewski2.451512781J. Stecyszyn1.47171011113WOct 8 · 03:00D. Michna2.008780J. Stecyszyn1.701111113LOct 7 · 14:35J. Stecyszyn2.4581170K. Wloczko1.471113113
G. Poliniewicz10
WOct 8 · 13:00J. Mitas1.9831110G. Poliniewicz1.731113113WOct 8 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz1.86131176113P. Jendrzejewski1.80118111182WOct 8 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.8511116143M. Rutkowski1.807311121WOct 8 · 09:45K. Kapik1.7831151182G. Poliniewicz1.93115115113LOct 8 · 08:30D. Michna2.021110911113G. Poliniewicz1.7181211922LOct 8 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz2.759860J. Stecyszyn1.401111113LOct 8 · 06:00P. Jendrzejewski1.90111153113G. Poliniewicz1.8099111152WOct 8 · 04:50J. Mitas2.2591112111G. Poliniewicz1.5711414133LOct 8 · 03:20K. Wloczko1.421111113G. Poliniewicz2.607790WOct 7 · 14:15D. Kosmal2.15881171G. Poliniewicz1.6111117113
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