TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Wloczko vs Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:18 and never touched: 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
117117119––––
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 65–45 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 45 of their 110 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 14h before this match
Wloczko beat Poliniewicz 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:1868.0%Our read70.4%to break even at 1.42
short by 2.4pp70.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.42 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Wloczko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
65-45 in 110
Wloczko
Correct
gap of 20 in 110, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1840 vs Poliniewicz 1700
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 80% vs Poliniewicz 60%
Wloczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 90% vs Poliniewicz 50%
Wloczko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +4 · Poliniewicz +1
Wloczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Wloczko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 1.42 / Poliniewicz 2.60
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Wloczko)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13260388
Wloczko1.42
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 205 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it97% 90 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it80% 162 of 203
Poliniewicz2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 129 of 360
Down 0–1, comes back18% 36 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko5wins
AwayPoliniewicz5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko100%3 of 3
AwayPoliniewicz71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko3Poliniewicz7n = 10Poliniewicz took 7 of 10
S2Wloczko6Poliniewicz4n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S3Wloczko5Poliniewicz5n = 10split evenly
S4Wloczko7Poliniewicz3n = 10Wloczko took 7 of 10
S5Wloczko2Poliniewicz3n = 5Poliniewicz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoPoliniewiczW − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match44.442.4+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime941 / 1797 vs 1209 / 209652.4%57.7%941 / 1797 vs 1209 / 2096Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WloczkoWloczko 1.42/Poliniewicz 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Wloczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 05:15K. Wloczko47781111102G. Poliniewicz50111179123
WOct 2 · 07:20K. Wloczko46111113113G. Poliniewicz36781561
LSep 29 · 08:05K. Wloczko51912111182G. Poliniewicz48111493113
WSep 24 · 08:05K. Wloczko47117117113G. Poliniewicz3941181152
WSep 23 · 04:50K. Wloczko501011711113G. Poliniewicz4112911542
WSep 11 · 06:30K. Wloczko4711814143G. Poliniewicz4271112121
LSep 7 · 10:30K. Wloczko347116101G. Poliniewicz4311911123
LSep 4 · 09:45K. Wloczko32811581G. Poliniewicz3911611113
WAug 27 · 11:20K. Wloczko44101111123G. Poliniewicz361268101
LAug 26 · 09:45K. Wloczko461011411102G. Poliniewicz50127118123
K. Wloczko10
WOct 8 · 04:00D. Michna1.521011100K. Wloczko2.301213123WOct 7 · 14:35J. Stecyszyn2.4581170K. Wloczko1.471113113WOct 7 · 13:25K. Wloczko1.354201412113G. Poliniewicz2.901118121472WOct 7 · 12:10M. Rutkowski3.059450K. Wloczko1.301111113WOct 7 · 10:55D. Kosmal2.4011780K. Wloczko1.501311113LOct 7 · 09:20K. Kapik1.6011101112163K. Wloczko2.20712714142WOct 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak3.85881151K. Wloczko1.2011118113WOct 7 · 06:50K. Kapik2.551124592K. Wloczko1.45611111113WOct 7 · 06:00K. Wloczko1.30148119113M. Rutkowski3.15121161182WOct 7 · 04:25K. Wloczko1.47111111113D. Kosmal2.45613871
G. Poliniewicz10
WOct 7 · 14:15D. Kosmal2.15881171G. Poliniewicz1.6111117113LOct 7 · 13:25K. Wloczko1.354201412113G. Poliniewicz2.901118121472WOct 7 · 11:20K. Kapik1.705730G. Poliniewicz2.051111113WOct 7 · 10:30M. Rutkowski1.8010131111112G. Poliniewicz1.911211139133LOct 7 · 09:00J. Stecyszyn1.501111113G. Poliniewicz2.504570LOct 6 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz1.81712128123G. Poliniewicz1.9011101011102WOct 6 · 07:15M. Malachowski1.855117101G. Poliniewicz1.8511511123WOct 6 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.37781111102G. Poliniewicz2.80111179123LOct 6 · 04:25P. Chodorski1.6011116113G. Poliniewicz2.15571191LOct 6 · 03:00M. Olbrycht1.7511713113G. Poliniewicz1.956111151
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