Jakub Zochniak vs Krzysztof Kapik 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC 2 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Jakub Zochniak

Home

2.50

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

911115511119119

Krzysztof Kapik

Away

1.45

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched: 69.7% is still 69.7%

Graded at full time

Krzysztof Kapik to win

69.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

92 points played in total.

Set by set

911115511119119

H2H Jakub Zochniak 43–85 Krzysztof Kapik Jakub Zochniak has won 43 of their 128 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kapik

Zochniak 2.50/Kapik 1.45

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

69.7%

Kapik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Zochniak won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:44

69.7%Our read69.0%to break even at 1.45

clears by 0.7pp

69.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.45 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.45 (63%)

Kapik

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

43-85 in 128

Kapik

Wrong

gap of 42 in 128, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Zochniak 1618 vs Kapik 1671

Kapik

Wrong

both rated, 52 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zochniak 80% vs Kapik 60%

Zochniak

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zochniak 80% vs Kapik 30%

Zochniak

Correct

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Zochniak +4 · Kapik +1

Zochniak

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 70% · Clear lean (leans Kapik) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Zochniak: form 80%, the price implies 40%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZochniak 2.50 / Kapik 1.45

Signal prob.30% / 70%

Edge (Kapik)+0.7pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeZochniak4wins

AwayKapik6wins

2 of 10 to a deciderKapik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZochniak100%3 of 3

AwayKapik85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zochniak3Kapik7n = 10Kapik took 7 of 10

S2Zochniak5Kapik5n = 10split evenly

S3Zochniak4Kapik6n = 10Kapik took 6 of 10

S4Zochniak3Kapik4n = 7Kapik took 4 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricZochniakKapikZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.137.6−4.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZochniakKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime1146 / 2193 vs 1112 / 210152.3%52.9%1146 / 2193 vs 1112 / 2101Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.0per match

TT Elite Series · #13282323

Zochniak2.50

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog35% won 135 of 390

Down 0–1, comes back14% 32 of 225

Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 115

Kapik1.45

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite61% won 214 of 352

Up 2–0, closes it95% 102 of 107

Up 1–0, closes it77% 144 of 187

Jakub Zochniak vs Krzysztof Kapik 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jakub Zochniak vs Krzysztof Kapik 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.