Daniel Hyza vs Adam Kosacky 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 8 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Daniel Hyza

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 4

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

711511911––––

Adam Kosacky

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Daniel Hyza to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Adam Kosacky below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 54 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Daniel Hyza at 54.0%

54 points played in total.

H2H Daniel Hyza 27–19 Adam Kosacky Adam Kosacky has won 19 of their 46 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Hyza

Hyza 1.83/Kosacky 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Hyza · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Kosacky won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:34

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Kosacky

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

27-19 in 46

Hyza

Wrong

gap of 8 in 46, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Hyza 1618 vs Kosacky 1638

Kosacky

Correct

both rated, 20 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Hyza 80% vs Kosacky 20%

Hyza

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Hyza 60% vs Kosacky 20%

Hyza

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Hyza +4 · Kosacky +1

Hyza

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Hyza) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kosacky: form 20%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHyza 1.833 / Kosacky 1.833

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Hyza)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeHyza6wins

AwayKosacky4wins

1 of 10 to a deciderHyza leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHyza80%4 of 5

AwayKosacky60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Hyza5Kosacky5n = 10split evenly

S2Hyza6Kosacky4n = 10Hyza took 6 of 10

S3Hyza4Kosacky6n = 10Kosacky took 6 of 10

S4Hyza4Kosacky2n = 6Hyza took 4 of 6

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricHyzaKosackyH − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.433.9+1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHyzaKosackyBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 401 vs 338 / 60855.1%55.6%221 / 401 vs 338 / 608Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.8per match

TT Cup · #13283425

Hyza1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 09)

Won last 4

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Kosacky1.83

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Daniel Hyza vs Adam Kosacky 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Daniel Hyza vs Adam Kosacky 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.