Denis Aldayev vs Vitalii Klymenko 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Denis Aldayev

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

711117115711117

Vitalii Klymenko

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:20 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Vitalii Klymenko to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDenis Aldayev above · Vitalii Klymenko below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 88 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Vitalii Klymenko at 54.0%

88 points played in total.

H2H Denis Aldayev 24–25 Vitalii Klymenko Denis Aldayev has won 24 of their 49 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Klymenko

Aldayev 1.83/Klymenko 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Klymenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Aldayev won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 12:20

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Klymenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

24-25 in 49

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Aldayev 1005 vs Klymenko 1044

Klymenko

Wrong

both rated, 39 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Aldayev 60% vs Klymenko 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Aldayev 60% vs Klymenko 40%

Aldayev

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Aldayev +2 · Klymenko -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Klymenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsAldayev 1.833 / Klymenko 1.833

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Klymenko)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeAldayev5wins

AwayKlymenko5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeAldayev83.3%5 of 6

AwayKlymenko100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Aldayev6Klymenko4n = 10Aldayev took 6 of 10

S2Aldayev5Klymenko5n = 10split evenly

S3Aldayev3Klymenko7n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10

S4Aldayev7Klymenko2n = 9Aldayev took 7 of 9

S5Aldayev1Klymenko3n = 4Klymenko took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricAldayevKlymenkoA − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.738.8+1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricAldayevKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 272 vs 108 / 26541.9%40.8%114 / 272 vs 108 / 265Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.2per match

Setka Cup · #13281753

Aldayev1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 10)

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Klymenko1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 10)

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Denis Aldayev vs Vitalii Klymenko 3-2 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Denis Aldayev vs Vitalii Klymenko 3-2 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.