Petr Orlowski vs Martin Vana 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Petr Orlowski

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

811811811––––

Martin Vana

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Martin Vana to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingPetr Orlowski above · Martin Vana below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Point 57 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Martin Vana at 54.0%

57 points played in total.

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vana

Orlowski 1.91/Vana 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Vana · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Vana won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 19:12

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Vana

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Orlowski 1655 vs Vana 1599

Orlowski

Wrong

both rated, 56 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Orlowski 40% vs Vana 20%

Orlowski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Orlowski 50% vs Vana 30%

Orlowski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Orlowski -2 · Vana +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Vana) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vana: form 20%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOrlowski 1.909 / Vana 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Vana)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricOrlowskiVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 362 vs 74 / 13955%53.2%199 / 362 vs 74 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.838.5per match

Setka Cup · #13281590

Orlowski1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog56% won 44 of 78

Down 0–1, comes back36% 14 of 39

Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19

Vana1.80

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite66% won 29 of 44

Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15

Up 1–0, closes it86% 24 of 28

Petr Orlowski vs Martin Vana 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Petr Orlowski vs Martin Vana 0-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.