Nazar Kovalchuk vs Serhii Rak · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts 14:55Scheduled

Nazar Kovalchuk

Home

3.25

At publish

Lost last 1

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

17 – 42

All 59 meetings · 28.8%

Last 10 · 2–8Same side

Serhii Rak

Away

1.33

At publish

Won last 1

2–8Last 10Won last 1

Both players are 2–8 over their last ten. The difference is the direction: Serhii Rak arrives off a win, Nazar Kovalchuk off a loss.

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKovalchuk 3.25 / Rak 1.333

Round robin · match 7 of 15

5 of 15 played

Group 3 of 18 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Denys Shcherbak	2–0	6–4	3
2	Denys Pesternikov	1–0	3–2	4
3	Nazar KovalchukThis match	1–1	5–4	3
4	Serhii RakThis match	1–1	5–4	3
5	Ivan Kozachuk	0–1	2–3	4
6	Ivan Romaniak	0–2	2–6	3

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKovalchuk2wins

AwayRak8wins

2 of 10 to a deciderRak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKovalchuk66.7%2 of 3

AwayRak100%7 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kovalchuk3Rak7n = 10Rak took 7 of 10

S2Kovalchuk1Rak9n = 10Rak took 9 of 10

S3Kovalchuk3Rak7n = 10Rak took 7 of 10

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away770%

These 10 meetings

MetricKovalchukRakK − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.036.1−8.1per matchSweeps17−63–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKovalchukRakBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 813 vs 557 / 100451.9%55.5%422 / 813 vs 557 / 1004Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.7per match

Setka Cup · #13281528

Kovalchuk3.25

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog43% won 47 of 109

Down 0–1, comes back21% 11 of 53

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31

Rak1.33

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite67% won 255 of 383

Up 2–0, closes it94% 128 of 136

Up 1–0, closes it83% 185 of 222

Nazar Kovalchuk vs Serhii Rak · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 7 of 15

Round robin before this match

Nazar Kovalchuk vs Serhii Rak · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 7 of 15

Round robin before this match