Nazar Kovalchuk vs Ivan Kozachuk · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts 17:55Scheduled

Nazar Kovalchuk

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

25 – 26

All 51 meetings · 49.0%

Last 10 · 6–4Split

Ivan Kozachuk

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 2

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Neither player arrives off a win: both lost their last one.

Compare players

Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKovalchuk 1.80 / Kozachuk 1.909

Round robin · match 13 of 15

5 of 15 played

Group 3 of 18 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Denys Shcherbak	2–0	6–4	3
2	Denys Pesternikov	1–0	3–2	4
3	Nazar KovalchukThis match	1–1	5–4	3
4	Serhii Rak	1–1	5–4	3
5	Ivan KozachukThis match	0–1	2–3	4
6	Ivan Romaniak	0–2	2–6	3

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKovalchuk6wins

AwayKozachuk4wins

2 of 10 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKovalchuk100%4 of 4

AwayKozachuk66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kovalchuk4Kozachuk6n = 10Kozachuk took 6 of 10

S2Kovalchuk6Kozachuk4n = 10Kovalchuk took 6 of 10

S3Kovalchuk5Kozachuk5n = 10split evenly

S4Kovalchuk3Kozachuk3n = 6split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricKovalchukKozachukKovalchuk − KozachukBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.033.5+0.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKovalchukKozachukBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 813 vs 560 / 110851.9%50.5%422 / 813 vs 560 / 1108Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.6per match

Setka Cup · #13281351

Kovalchuk1.80

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite58% won 171 of 295

Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70

Up 1–0, closes it74% 111 of 150

Kozachuk1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog36% won 86 of 240

Down 0–1, comes back20% 27 of 134

Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 79

Nazar Kovalchuk vs Ivan Kozachuk · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 13 of 15

Round robin before this match

Nazar Kovalchuk vs Ivan Kozachuk · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 13 of 15

Round robin before this match