Jacek Zelezik vs Andrzej Krezel 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Jacek Zelezik

Home

1.44

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

115511117116––

Andrzej Krezel

Away

2.63

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:15 and never touched: 67.7% is still 67.7%

Graded at full time

Jacek Zelezik to win

67.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJacek Zelezik above · Andrzej Krezel below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 11-6

Point 67 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Jacek Zelezik at 67.7%

67 points played in total.

H2H Jacek Zelezik 7–5 Andrzej Krezel Andrzej Krezel has won 5 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Zelezik

Zelezik 1.44/Krezel 2.63

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

67.7%

Zelezik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Zelezik won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:15

67.7%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444

short by 1.6pp

69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

Zelezik

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-5 in 12

Zelezik

Correct

gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Zelezik 1633 vs Krezel 1405

Zelezik

Correct

both rated, 228 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zelezik 80% vs Krezel 20%

Zelezik

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zelezik 80% vs Krezel 40%

Zelezik

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Zelezik +3 · Krezel -3

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Zelezik) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Krezel: form 20%, the price implies 38%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZelezik 1.444 / Krezel 2.625

Signal prob.68% / 32%

Edge (Zelezik)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeZelezik5wins

AwayKrezel5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZelezik60%3 of 5

AwayKrezel60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zelezik5Krezel5n = 10split evenly

S2Zelezik6Krezel4n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10

S3Zelezik5Krezel5n = 10split evenly

S4Zelezik2Krezel4n = 6Krezel took 4 of 6

S5Zelezik2Krezel2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricZelezikKrezelZ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.136.5−2.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZelezikKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime431 / 768 vs 123 / 31056.1%39.7%431 / 768 vs 123 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.3per match

TT Elite Series · #13281264

Zelezik1.44

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 09)

Won last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite72% won 209 of 289

Up 2–0, closes it96% 123 of 128

Up 1–0, closes it83% 159 of 192

Krezel2.63

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 09)

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog33% won 68 of 205

Down 0–1, comes back14% 17 of 118

Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75

Jacek Zelezik vs Andrzej Krezel 3-1 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jacek Zelezik vs Andrzej Krezel 3-1 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.