Jan Skvrna vs Bruno Mrowetz 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 52 - H2 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Jan Skvrna

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

711118611116611

Bruno Mrowetz

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%

Graded at full time

Jan Skvrna to win

54.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Bruno Mrowetz below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-6

Set 5 · 6-11

Point 88 set 5, 6-11 · our read held Jan Skvrna at 54.9%

88 points played in total.

H2H Jan Skvrna 20–11 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 11 of their 31 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Skvrna

Skvrna 1.73/Mrowetz 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.9%

Skvrna · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Mrowetz won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:38

54.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.0pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Skvrna

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

20-11 in 31

Skvrna

Wrong

gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Skvrna 1703 vs Mrowetz 1628

Skvrna

Wrong

both rated, 76 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Skvrna 60% vs Mrowetz 40%

Skvrna

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Skvrna 70% vs Mrowetz 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Skvrna -1 · Mrowetz +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Skvrna) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSkvrna 1.727 / Mrowetz 2.00

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Skvrna)-3.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSkvrna7wins

AwayMrowetz3wins

6 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSkvrna100%5 of 5

AwayMrowetz60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Skvrna5Mrowetz5n = 10split evenly

S2Skvrna2Mrowetz8n = 10Mrowetz took 8 of 10

S3Skvrna6Mrowetz4n = 10Skvrna took 6 of 10

S4Skvrna6Mrowetz2n = 8Skvrna took 6 of 8

S5Skvrna5Mrowetz1n = 6Skvrna took 5 of 6

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home550%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSkvrnaMrowetzS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.140.8+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSkvrnaMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime505 / 871 vs 273 / 54358%50.3%505 / 871 vs 273 / 543Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.2per match

TT Cup · #13281234

Skvrna1.73

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite59% won 231 of 393

Up 2–0, closes it94% 75 of 80

Up 1–0, closes it75% 160 of 214

Mrowetz2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog42% won 67 of 158

Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 74

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39

Jan Skvrna vs Bruno Mrowetz 2-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jan Skvrna vs Bruno Mrowetz 2-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.