Andrey Troyan vs Yaroslav Kovshun · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts 10:00Scheduled

Andrey Troyan

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 4

6–4Last 10Won last 4

Head to head

49 – 91

All 140 meetings · 35.0%

Last 10 · 6–4Split

Yaroslav Kovshun

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 4

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

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Price verdict

Value · Medium

Andrey Troyan at 2.10

The underdog is priced longer than what we measure says.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTroyan 2.10 / Kovshun 1.666

Round robin · match 12 of 15

4 of 15 played

Group 3 of 9 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Andrey TroyanThis match	2–0	6–1	3
2	Volodymyr Bilobrov	1–0	3–2	4
3	Yurii Volkov	1–1	4–4	3
4	Oleh Karpenko	0–1	2–3	4
5	Yaroslav KovshunThis match	0–1	1–3	4
6	Valerii Kolesnykov	0–1	0–3	4

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeTroyan6wins

AwayKovshun4wins

7 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeTroyan80%4 of 5

AwayKovshun60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Troyan5Kovshun5n = 10split evenly

S2Troyan6Kovshun4n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10

S3Troyan9Kovshun1n = 10Troyan took 9 of 10

S4Troyan3Kovshun4n = 7Kovshun took 4 of 7

S5Troyan3Kovshun4n = 7Kovshun took 4 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricTroyanKovshunT − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.542.5+1.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricTroyanKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 982 vs 341 / 64449%53%481 / 982 vs 341 / 644Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match

Setka Cup · #13281170

Troyan2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog32% won 58 of 182

Down 0–1, comes back13% 13 of 101

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 63

Kovshun1.67

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite60% won 117 of 195

Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58

Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102

Andrey Troyan vs Yaroslav Kovshun · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 12 of 15

Round robin before this match

Andrey Troyan vs Yaroslav Kovshun · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 12 of 15

Round robin before this match