Volodymyr Korobko vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Volodymyr Korobko

Home

1.91

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

6111113115118116

Ivan Fashchevskyi

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 5

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Ivan Fashchevskyi to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 11-8

Set 5 · 11-6

Point 93 set 5, 11-6 · our read held Ivan Fashchevskyi at 54.0%

93 points played in total.

H2H Volodymyr Korobko 7–7 Ivan Fashchevskyi Dead even across their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Fashchevskyi

Korobko 1.91/Fashchevskyi 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Fashchevskyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Korobko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:21

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Fashchevskyi

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-7 in 14

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Korobko 1499 vs Fashchevskyi 1534

Fashchevskyi

Wrong

both rated, 35 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Korobko 60% vs Fashchevskyi 100%

Fashchevskyi

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Korobko 50% vs Fashchevskyi 70%

Fashchevskyi

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Korobko +2 · Fashchevskyi +5

Fashchevskyi

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Fashchevskyi) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Fashchevskyi: form 100%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKorobko 1.909 / Fashchevskyi 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Fashchevskyi)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKorobko5wins

AwayFashchevskyi5wins

3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKorobko80%4 of 5

AwayFashchevskyi80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Korobko5Fashchevskyi5n = 10split evenly

S2Korobko7Fashchevskyi3n = 10Korobko took 7 of 10

S3Korobko4Fashchevskyi6n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10

S4Korobko5Fashchevskyi1n = 6Korobko took 5 of 6

S5Korobko0Fashchevskyi3n = 3Fashchevskyi took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricKorobkoFashchevskyiK − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.134.1+4.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKorobkoFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 465 vs 326 / 66444.7%49.1%208 / 465 vs 326 / 664Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.738.9per match

Setka Cup · #13281023

Korobko1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 11)

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog38% won 45 of 119

Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 73

Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52

Fashchevskyi1.80

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 10)

Won last 5

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite55% won 65 of 118

Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29

Up 1–0, closes it77% 44 of 57

Volodymyr Korobko vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Volodymyr Korobko vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.