Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Oleh Kurylenko 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Dmitro Kuzmenko

Home

2.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

131113111210––––

Oleh Kurylenko

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:58 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%

Graded at full time

Oleh Kurylenko to win

60.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Oleh Kurylenko below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 12-10

Point 70 set 3, 12-10 · our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 60.9%

70 points played in total.

H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 72–100 Oleh Kurylenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 72 of their 172 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kurylenko

Kuzmenko 2.20/Kurylenko 1.61

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.9%

Kurylenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Kuzmenko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 06:58

60.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 1.0pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Kurylenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

72-100 in 172

Kurylenko

Wrong

gap of 28 in 172, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kuzmenko 1446 vs Kurylenko 1552

Kurylenko

Wrong

both rated, 106 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kuzmenko 40% vs Kurylenko 60%

Kurylenko

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kuzmenko 40% vs Kurylenko 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Kuzmenko +1 · Kurylenko +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Kurylenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKuzmenko 2.20 / Kurylenko 1.615

Signal prob.39% / 61%

Edge (Kurylenko)-1.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKuzmenko6wins

AwayKurylenko4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKuzmenko100%5 of 5

AwayKurylenko80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kuzmenko5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly

S2Kuzmenko5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly

S3Kuzmenko7Kurylenko3n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10

S4Kuzmenko4Kurylenko2n = 6Kuzmenko took 4 of 6

S5Kuzmenko2Kurylenko2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKuzmenkoKurylenkoKuzmenko − KurylenkoBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.337.9+0.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKuzmenkoKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 968 vs 501 / 100942.1%49.7%407 / 968 vs 501 / 1009Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.2per match

Setka Cup · #13280970

Kuzmenko2.20

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog36% won 111 of 310

Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 176

Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 105

Kurylenko1.61

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite61% won 157 of 259

Up 2–0, closes it89% 74 of 83

Up 1–0, closes it80% 111 of 139

Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Oleh Kurylenko 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Oleh Kurylenko 3-0 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.