Artur Kubiak vs Michal Kumor 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 11Finished

Artur Kubiak

Home

1.50

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

116911116117––

Michal Kumor

Away

2.50

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%

Graded at full time

Artur Kubiak to win

62.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingArtur Kubiak above · Michal Kumor below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 11-7

Point 72 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Artur Kubiak at 62.5%

72 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 16:04

62.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50

short by 4.2pp

66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Kubiak

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kubiak 1426 vs Kumor 1222

Kubiak

Correct

both rated, 205 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kubiak 60% vs Kumor 40%

Kubiak

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kubiak 50% vs Kumor 20%

Kubiak

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kubiak +3 · Kumor +2

Kubiak

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Kubiak) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKubiak 1.50 / Kumor 2.50

Signal prob.63% / 38%

Edge (Kubiak)-4.2pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13279848

Kubiak1.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite69% won 165 of 238

Up 2–0, closes it96% 80 of 83

Up 1–0, closes it83% 113 of 136

Kumor2.50

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog10% won 1 of 10

Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKubiakKumorBasisWin rate · lifetime497 / 911 vs 220 / 53354.6%41.3%497 / 911 vs 220 / 533Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kubiak

Kubiak 1.50/Kumor 2.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

62.5%

Kubiak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kubiak won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

A. Kubiak10