TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Kostyk vs Jakub Lamperski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711118118––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:47 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Lamperski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
119711118118––
H2H Kamil Kostyk 3–1 Jakub Lamperski Jakub Lamperski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Kostyk beat Lamperski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:4754.0%Our read52.6%to break even at 1.90
clears by 1.4pp52.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.90 they are the same number)
What took a side0 for · 6 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kostyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kostyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kostyk 1497 vs Lamperski 1471
Kostyk
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kostyk 100% vs Lamperski 40%
Kostyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kostyk 90% vs Lamperski 60%
Kostyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kostyk +6 · Lamperski +1
Kostyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Lamperski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lamperski form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostyk 1.80 / Lamperski 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lamperski)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13279837
Kostyk1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 49 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it76% 37 of 49
Lamperski1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog30% won 6 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKostyk3wins
AwayLamperski1wins
Kostyk leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKostyk100%3 of 3
AwayLamperskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kostyk3Lamperski1n = 4Kostyk took 3 of 4
S2Kostyk2Lamperski2n = 4split evenly
S3Kostyk4Lamperski0n = 4Kostyk took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKostykLamperskiK − LBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match34.830.0+4.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostykLamperskiBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 462 vs 50 / 7848.5%64.1%224 / 462 vs 50 / 78Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LamperskiKostyk 1.80/Lamperski 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lamperski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kostyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WOct 11 · 08:30K. Kostyk4211812113J. Lamperski336111061
WOct 10 · 11:20K. Kostyk371111153J. Lamperski2896130
WSep 15 · 16:05K. Kostyk341111123J. Lamperski2266100
LSep 14 · 22:55K. Kostyk26631161J. Lamperski3711114113
K. Kostyk10
WOct 11 · 12:35K. Kostyk1.9011118113D. Solilo1.80961181WOct 11 · 11:20K. Kostyk1.8861117133M. Minda1.8211615111WOct 11 · 10:05T. Piotrowski1.90811481K. Kostyk1.7511611113WOct 11 · 09:20K. Kostyk1.83811119113M. Kukawka1.8711361132WOct 11 · 08:30K. Kostyk1.9511812113J. Lamperski1.706111061WOct 11 · 06:50K. Kostyk1.801312910113M. Minda1.901110111292LOct 11 · 05:35K. Kostyk1.80211119142T. Piotrowski1.91119711163WOct 11 · 04:00K. Kostyk1.501111113K. Klocek2.406580WOct 11 · 03:00K. Kostyk1.5581111113A. Mugowski2.30119991WOct 10 · 14:15M. Minda1.919680K. Kostyk1.701111113
J. Lamperski10
WOct 11 · 13:00T. Piotrowski2.017620J. Lamperski1.721111113LOct 11 · 12:10J. Lamperski2.109680M. Kukawka1.651111113LOct 11 · 10:30J. Lamperski1.85115951M. Minda1.8581111113WOct 11 · 09:45D. Solilo1.801011191062J. Lamperski1.851261712113LOct 11 · 08:30K. Kostyk1.9511812113J. Lamperski1.706111061WOct 11 · 07:15J. Lamperski1.7011118113A. Mugowski1.95841151WOct 11 · 06:00M. Minda1.956630J. Lamperski1.751111113WOct 11 · 04:50T. Piotrowski2.20511791J. Lamperski1.6111911113WOct 11 · 03:20K. Klocek2.5010060J. Lamperski1.451211113LOct 10 · 13:50J. Lamperski1.8011514592B. Mleczko1.807111211113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kostyk
Nothing scheduled
J. Lamperski
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