TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ondrej Fiklik vs David Sykora 1-3 · TT Cup
TT CupCzech 3 · Prague
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311116811911––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:02 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 62.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 2–1 David Sykora David Sykora has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:0262.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 4.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fiklik 1492 vs Sykora 1508
Sykora
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiklik 20% vs Sykora 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiklik 40% vs Sykora 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiklik -1 · Sykora -3
Sykora
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Fiklik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 1.50 / Sykora 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Fiklik)-4.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13277145
Fiklik1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 91 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it73% 61 of 84
Sykora2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 38 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back35% 23 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFiklik2wins
AwaySykora1wins
Fiklik leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiklik2Sykora1n = 3Fiklik took 2 of 3
S2Fiklik2Sykora1n = 3Fiklik took 2 of 3
S3Fiklik2Sykora1n = 3Fiklik took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricFiklikSykoraF − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.328.0+7.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime545 / 1206 vs 278 / 51345.2%54.2%545 / 1206 vs 278 / 513Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikFiklik 1.50/Sykora 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LOct 11 · 11:20O. Fiklik31311891D. Sykora3911611113
WSep 13 · 18:20O. Fiklik331111113D. Sykora176380
WOct 19 · 15:55O. Fiklik4211911113D. Sykora28711641
O. Fiklik10
LOct 11 · 12:20O. Fiklik1.732111161M. Sulc2.0011413113LOct 11 · 10:20O. Fiklik1.67611111372A. Langer2.10118815113WOct 9 · 14:03A. Langer2.2011101110102O. Fiklik1.61712412123LOct 9 · 12:55A. Langer2.1011911113O. Fiklik1.67611841LOct 9 · 12:25D. Hyza1.501111113O. Fiklik2.505960LOct 9 · 11:25O. Fiklik1.6111121151V. Hejda Jr2.2013147113LOct 8 · 10:40V. Hejda Jr2.25121161113O. Fiklik1.57106111172WOct 8 · 08:55A. Langer2.208813131O. Fiklik1.61111111153LOct 8 · 08:25V. Hejda Jr2.2511112113O. Fiklik1.57891181WOct 8 · 07:25O. Fiklik1.8311119113J. Vonasek1.83691171
D. Sykora10
LOct 11 · 12:50D. Sykora2.1011115792A. Langer1.67841111113LOct 11 · 10:50M. Sulc1.40911911113D. Sykora2.7511811682LOct 8 · 21:18D. Sykora1.361123101A. Kral3.0091111123LOct 8 · 20:20D. Sykora2.256670M. Sulc1.571111113WOct 8 · 19:20D. Sykora1.4011115123A. Kral2.756711101LOct 8 · 18:20D. Sykora1.8311811772J. Hrncir1.83811611113LOct 5 · 17:59D. Sykora1.91111061182J. Melichar1.80812116113WOct 5 · 16:20D. Sykora2.1051111113J. Melichar1.67115931WOct 5 · 15:20D. Sykora1.91111213153J. Hendrych1.8091015131WOct 5 · 14:20D. Sykora1.5311311113Z. Zahradka2.38711771
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